Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+112) San Diego (-122)

Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (8-7, 2nd in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (10-7, 3rd in NL West). The Brewers open this contest at +112 while the Padres are priced at -122. The total opens at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Corbin Burnes and Chris Paddack.

The Brewers have compiled 16 doubles as a squad and have knocked 16 balls out of the park. Milwaukee is slugging .349 and have been called out on strikes 153 times, while being walked on 53 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.4 runs/g, which ranks them 13th in the league. They have earned 63 runs batted in in addition to 104 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is .209. They have 66 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .301.

Brewers pitchers have conceded 16 home runs and 52 total runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 50 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.80 as a team on the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.07. The Brewers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.04 on the campaign (5th in MLB), and they have struck out 148 hitters.

The Brewers have sent 48 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 11 runners so far this year with 27.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 2 saves this year and have missed out on 3 of 5 chances to save the game. The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 40.0% and has come into the game in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 3 holds for the season (27th in the league). Brewers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 9 times in addition to having 15 appearances in high leverage situations.

Burnes has taken the hill for 165 innings and has 223 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Burnes (13-7 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.51 while he has faced 689 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.04 (74 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.170. He has given up 138 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 55 free passes.

The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .384 and they score 4.06 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have 24 two-baggers, while taking a walk 77 times and putting up 69 runs. San Diego has recorded 17 home runs so far this year and 65 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 128 occasions (24th in MLB) and have tallied 138 base hits. The San Diego Padres have compiled a team on-base percentage of .340 and a team batting average of .244 over the course of the season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.006 with a FIP of 3.12 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 4.16 (183 strikeouts against 44 walks). They are currently ranked 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 112. They have allowed 16 home runs and they allow 3.25 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 56 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.50 (43 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 21 save situations, the Padres have recorded 10 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 18 times in high leverage situations and on 13 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 15.8% out of 19 inherited base runners. They rank 6th in MLB with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 66 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

Paddack (14-13 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.77 ERA and has conceded 7.6 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.51 and he has faced 872 batters thus far in his career. He has conceded 89 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.077 and a FIP of 4.2. During his career, Paddack has conceded 180 hits and he has 221 strikeouts in 212 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+112)

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