Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 8/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Thursday, August 19, 2021
Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-172) St. Louis (+135)
Jon Lester and the St. Louis Cardinals (61-57, 3rd in NL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (73-47, 1st in NL Central) at Busch Stadium on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Brewers priced at -172 and the Cardinals are at +135. The O/U has been set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brandon Woodruff and Jon Lester.
Milwaukee has a slugging % of .401 and have been rung up 1,109 times, while drawing a walk on 438 occasions. They have accounted for 530 RBI's and 933 hits on the season, and their team batting average is .234. The Brewers have compiled 188 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 148 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 557 runs and have an OBP of .319. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 11th in the league.
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The Brewers hold a team ERA of 3.32 this season (2nd in MLB), and they have struck out 1,200 batters. They have walked 402 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.63 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.99 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Brewers pitchers have conceded 116 home runs and 442 runs (2nd in baseball).
Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 76 times as well as having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 64 holds on the year (11th in baseball). The Brewers bullpen have compiled a save rate of 59.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 120 save situations. They have accumulated 32 saves this year and have blown 22 of 54 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 102 base runners so far this year and 34.3% of them earned a run for their team. The Brewers have dispatched 392 relievers to the mound this season.
The Brewers have transformed 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,594 innings on the field, which ranks them 5th in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have 3,198 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 995 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which is 25th in baseball, and have earned 765 double plays.
Woodruff has thrown 421 innings and has racked up 476 K's so far in his MLB career. Woodruff (26-17 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.12 while facing 1,692 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.16 (148 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.059. He has given up 334 base hits (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 112 free passes.
St. Louis has tallied 131 HRs over the course of the season and 462 RBIs. They have tallied 184 doubles, while taking a walk 355 times and scoring 482 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a batting average of .237 on the season. The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .392 and they score 4.08 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 967 occasions (26th in the league) and have 923 base hits.
The St. Louis pitching staff have yielded 505 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.10 (470 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 104 long balls and they surrender 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.333 with a FIP of 4.35 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 1.90 (902 strikeouts against 475 bases on balls). They rank 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 899.
Sitting with 113 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 66 holds and 12 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 33 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 106 times in high leverage situations and also on 128 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.9% of 217 inherited base runners. They are ranked 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have sent 405 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.
The St. Louis Cardinals have twisted 92 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (13th in MLB). The Cardinals have racked up 1,081 assists, 64 errors and have earned 3,094 putouts during this campaign. In 9,282 innings on the field, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (4th in the majors).
So far in his pro baseball career, Lester has given up 2,564 hits while tallying 2,456 K's in 2,690 innings pitched. Lester (197-117 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.66 ERA while conceding 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 1,094 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.82 and he has faced 11,275 batters so far in his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-172)
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