Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-175) Detroit (+120)

Matt Shoemaker and the Minnesota Twins (1-1, 3rd in AL Central) head to Comerica Park on Monday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (2-0, 1st in AL Central). The Twins open this game at -175 while the Tigers are priced at +120. The total opens at 9. The men taking the mound will be Matt Shoemaker and Jose Urena.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins scored 4.5 runs per game last year, which ranked them 19th in baseball. They had a total of 269 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Twins accounted for 81 doubles as a team and knocked 91 baseballs out of the stadium. They recorded 258 runs batted in in addition to 468 hits in the prior season, while their batting average sat at .242. Minnesota had a slugging rate of .427 and were rung up 528 times, while getting the free base on 186 occasions.

Twins pitchers gave up 62 long balls and also 215 total runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 170 opposing hitters and their FIP finished at 3.79 as a squad during the previous year. They accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.20. The Twins had an earned run average of 3.58 in the previous season (4th in baseball), and they struck out 535 batters. The Twins relievers recorded a save rate of 63.0% and entered the game in 82 save situations. The relievers inherited 83 base runners over the course of the prior season and 27.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Twins pitchers entered the game with players on base in 48 outings in addition to 73 games with high leverage. The Twins had dispatched 202 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of last year. The bullpen accumulated 53 holds over the course of last year (1st in baseball). They accumulated 17 saves for the prior year and blew 10 out of their 27 chances to save the game.

Shoemaker held a FIP of 5.95 and he earned an ERA+ of 93. He allowed 15 earned runs last year and had a K/BB ratio of 2.9. He surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he had a WHIP of 1.081. His earned run average was 4.71 and he punched out 26 batters. Matt Shoemaker gave up 22 base knocks in 28.2 innings over the course of last year. Shoemaker has taken the mound for 602 innings and has earned 540 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.86 (258 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.182. He has surrendered 565 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 147 free passes. Shoemaker (43-33 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 2,478 hitters in the major leagues.

Detroit recorded 62 home runs for the previous season in addition to 242 RBIs. They recorded 78 doubles, while walking 147 times as well as racking up 249 runs. The Detroit Tigers accounted for an OBP of .303 and a team batting average of .245 during the previous year. The Tigers held a slugging % of .397 and they earned 4.29 runs per outing (22nd in baseball). They were rung up on 567 occasions (6th in MLB) and totaled 463 hits.

The Detroit pitching staff given up 318 runs during the previous year while having an ERA of 5.63 (308 earned runs conceded). They conceded 91 home runs and they allowed 5.82 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Tigers held a team WHIP of 1.429 in addition to having a FIP of 5.17 as a squad over the course of the prior season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.31 (444 strikeouts against 192 walks). They were sitting at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 511. Detroit bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 29.0% of 91 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 58 games with high leverage and 55 outings with runners on. Wrapping up the year with 19 opportunities for a save, the Tigers amassed 27 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They ranked 19th in the league holding a save rate of 57.9%, and they dispatched 218 relievers onto the field last year. Detroit called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 46 save situations and they tallied 11 saves.

Urena had a K/BB ratio of 1.2 with 15 total strikeouts and he held an ERA+ of 86. His WHIP sat at 1.50 and he was the owner of a FIP of 6.06 over the course of last year. He threw 23.1 innings last year while allowing 8.5 H/9. Urena allowed 22 total hits while conceding 14 earned runs (5.40 ERA). Thus far in his career, Urena has allowed 592 hits while he has accumulated 406 punch outs in 597 frames. He has conceded 305 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.340 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.95 and he has faced 2,556 opposing batters in his career. Urena (32-46 career record) has a 4.60 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-175)

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