Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-140) Detroit (+130)

Comerica Park is the venue where Casey Mize and the Detroit Tigers (2-0, 1st in AL Central) will play the Minnesota Twins (1-1, 3rd in AL Central) on Tuesday. The Tigers open this contest at +130 while the Twins are coming in at -140. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be J.A. Happ and Casey Mize.

Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .419 and have struck out 37 times, while drawing a walk on 12 occasions. They have accounted for 14 RBI's and 25 hits this season, and their average at the plate is at .238. The Twins have hit 5 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 4 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 15 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are recording 5.0 runs per outing, which has them at 12th in baseball.

The Twins have a team ERA of 0.67 on the year (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 36 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 6.00 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 0.85. Twins pitchers have yielded 2 long balls in addition to 8 total runs (27th in baseball). They have walked 6 opposing hitters and their FIP is 2.29 as a team this year.

The Twins relievers compiled a save rate of 63.0% and entered the game in 82 save situations last year. The relief pitchers inherited 79 base runners in the previous season and 29.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers went to the mound with runners on base in 48 games in addition to 73 contests with high leverage. The Twins sent 202 relievers to the hill for the previous season. The relief pitchers racked up 53 holds for the prior year (1st in the league). They earned 17 saves for the previous season and did not convert 10 of their 27 save opportunities.

Happ held a FIP of 4.57 and an ERA+ of 122. J.A. Happ allowed 37 base hits in 49.1 innings pitched last year. He gave up 19 ER's last season with a K/BB ratio of 2.8. He gave up 6.8 hits per nine innings and his WHIP was 1.054. His ERA sat at 3.47 and he punched out 42 opposing batters. Happ has taken the ball for 1,741 frames and has accounted for 1,539 punch outs in his MLB career. Happ (123-92 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.22 while he has gone up against 7,377 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.98 (770 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.301. He has conceded 1,645 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 620 free passes.

Detroit has recorded 3 home runs for the season as well as 11 RBIs. They have hit 2 two-baggers, while walking 13 times as well as scoring 11 runs. The Detroit Tigers have compiled an on-base percentage of .291 and a batting average of .191 over the course of the season. The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .337 and they are recording 3.67 runs per outing (21st in baseball). They have struck out on 29 instances (18th in MLB) and have a total of 17 base knocks.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.333 with a FIP of 6.06 as a pitching staff this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.31 (17 strikeouts against 13 walks). They have a ranking of 18th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 23. They have conceded 5 home runs and they surrender 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 13 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.33 (13 earned runs allowed).

With 19 opportunities for a save, the Tigers compiled 27 holds and also 8 blown saves. Detroit had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 46 save situations and they walked away with 11 saves. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 58 games with high leverage and also 55 games with runners on. Detroit relievers had an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of 87 inherited runners. They ranked 19th in the league holding a save percentage of 57.9%, and they sent 218 relievers to the hill last year.

Mize had a K/BB ratio of 2.0 with 26 total punch outs and he held an ERA+ of 67. He threw 28.1 innings last year while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. Mize gave up 29 total base hits while he surrendered 22 ER's (6.99 ERA). His WHIP was at 1.48 and he had a FIP of 6.47 throughout last year. run average while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+130)

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