Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021
Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
TV: Bally Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-238) Detroit (+155)
Comerica Park is the venue where Matthew Boyd and the Detroit Tigers (2-2, 3rd in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (3-1, 2nd in AL Central) on Wednesday. The Twins open this game at -238 while the Tigers are priced at +155. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Kenta Maeda and Matthew Boyd.
The Twins have compiled 10 doubles as a squad and have knocked 6 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .476 and have struck out 50 times, while being walked on 23 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 7.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have accumulated 28 runs batted in and 39 hits for the season, while their batting average is sitting at .269. They have accounted for 30 runs and have an on-base percentage of .371.
The Twins have an earned run average of 2.00 for the year (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 42 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 7 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.33 as a squad on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.00 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 0.89. Twins pitchers have surrendered 4 home runs and 14 runs in total (23rd in the league).
Twins bullpen pitchers entered the contest with runners on in 48 contests and also 73 outings with high leverage last year. The bullpen notched 53 holds for the prior year (1st in the league). The Twins relief pitchers had a save rate of 63.0% and stepped onto the mound in 82 save situations. They recorded 17 saves for the prior year and blew 10 of 27 save chances. The bullpen inherited 79 base runners last season and 29.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Twins dispatched 202 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season.
Maeda has taken the ball for 660 innings and has totaled 726 K's so far in his MLB career. Maeda (53-36 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.64 while he has gone up against 2,700 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.74 (274 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.115. He has allowed 546 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 190 walks.
The Detroit Tigers have an OBP of .279 and a batting average of .200 this year. They have struck out on 35 occasions (22nd in the league) and have earned 25 base knocks. Detroit has hit 6 home runs on the year and 17 runs batted in. The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .384 and they are recording 4.25 runs per outing (15th in the league). They have notched 3 doubles, while taking a walk 14 times as well as putting up 17 runs.
The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 28 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 6.75 (27 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 7 homers and they concede 7.00 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.694 and are the owners of a FIP of 6.25 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 1.25 (30 strikeouts against 24 walks). They are currently ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 37.
Wrapping up the year with 19 opportunities for a save, the Tigers recorded 27 holds and 8 blown saves. Detroit had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 46 save situations and they walked away with 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound in 58 games with high leverage in addition to 55 outings with runners on base. Detroit relief pitchers had an inherited score rate of 30.0% out of their 87 inherited base runners. They were ranked 19th in the league with a save rate of 57.9%, and they dispatched 218 relievers to the hill last season.
During his career, Boyd has surrendered 719 hits while tallying 694 K's in 711 innings. Boyd (35-54 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 5.04 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 398 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.333 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and he has gone up against 3,061 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+155)
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