Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-142) Detroit (+131)

Matt Shoemaker and the Minnesota Twins (11-18, 4th in AL Central) travel to Comerica Park on Friday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (9-22, 5th in AL Central). The odds on this matchup have the Twins priced at -142 and the Tigers are at +131. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Matt Shoemaker and Tarik Skubal.

The Twins have accumulated 51 doubles as a unit and have knocked 39 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .421 and have struck out 258 times, while being walked on 86 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are recording 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have accumulated 129 runs batted in and 232 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .239. They have accumulated 137 runs and have an on-base percentage of .307.

The Twins have an earned run average of 4.28 for the season (19th in the league), and their staff has struck out 241 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.98 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Twins pitchers have conceded 41 home runs and also 138 runs in total (19th in MLB). They have walked 81 opposing players and their FIP is 4.43 as a squad so far this year.

The Twins bullpen have earned a save rate of 45.5% and has come into the game in 28 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 40 base runners so far this season with 60.0% of those players crossed the plate. Twins pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 29 times and also have had 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 91 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 17 holds for the season (12th in baseball). They have earned 5 saves so far this year and have missed out on 6 of their 11 save opportunities.

The Twins have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,271 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 11th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned 757 putouts thus far, as well as 260 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 17th in MLB, and they have turned 192 double plays.

Shoemaker has thrown 625 innings and has earned 554 strikeouts during his MLB career. Shoemaker (44-36 career record) has a FIP of 4.13 while he has gone up against 2,584 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.00 (278 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.196. He has conceded 593 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 155 walks.

Detroit has recorded 32 home runs on the season and 91 RBIs. They have hit 30 two-baggers, while taking a walk 77 times as well as scoring 92 runs. The Detroit Tigers have earned an OBP of .262 as well as a batting average of .202 so far this year. The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .342 and they are scoring 2.97 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 330 occasions (1st in baseball) and have 198 hits.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.422 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.98 as a unit this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.91 (227 strikeouts vs 119 walks). They are sitting at 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 251. They have conceded 43 HR's and they give up 5.43 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 157 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 5.15 (149 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 21 save situations, the Tigers have earned 11 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Detroit has called on relievers to take the mound in 9 save chances and they have walked away with 6 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 18 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on. Detroit relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 38.3% of 47 inherited base runners. They rank 13th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 94 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year.

Out of their 2,346 innings on the diamond, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (16th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have twisted 23 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (24th in baseball). The Tigers have recorded 272 assists, 21 errors and have earned a total of 782 putouts so far this year.

Skubal (1-8 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 5.83 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and he has faced 238 batters in his career. He has surrendered 35 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.407 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.8. In his pro baseball career, Skubal has allowed 51 base knocks while he has totaled 55 strikeouts in 54 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-142)

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