Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Sunday, July 18, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-127) Detroit (+113)

Casey Mize and the Detroit Tigers (41-51, 3rd in AL Central) play the Minnesota Twins (39-51, 4th in AL Central) at Comerica Park on Sunday. The Twins open this game at -127 while the Tigers are coming in at +113. The total opens at 10. The pitchers expected to start will be J.A. Happ and Casey Mize.

The Twins have earned 148 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 129 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .432 and have been called out on strikes 766 times, while drawing a walk on 300 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have amassed 389 RBI's as well as 737 hits on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .246. They have notched a total of 421 runs while having a team OBP of .318.

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The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.98 so far this year (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 744 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 274 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.67 as a squad this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Twins pitchers have surrendered 134 home runs and also 478 runs (28th in the league).

The Twins relievers have earned a save rate of 64.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 84 save situations. The relievers have inherited 97 base runners for the year with 55.7% of them earned a run for their team. Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 71 times and also have had 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 289 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 50 holds so far this year (9th in MLB). They have recorded 22 saves so far this season and have blown 12 out of their 34 save chances.

The Twins have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,023 innings, which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have amassed 2,341 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 778 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which is 28th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 596 double plays.

Happ (128-96 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.26 and he has gone up against 7,740 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,742 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 645 free passes. His earned run average is 4.07 (824 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.309. Happ has taken the hill for 1,823 innings and has 1,606 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Detroit has accounted for 100 home runs on the season to go along with 366 RBIs. They have 116 doubles, while taking a walk 296 times as well as putting up 378 runs. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated an OBP of .307 and a batting average of .236 so far this season. The Tigers have a slugging percentage of .387 and they score 4.15 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have struck out on 908 occasions (2nd in the league) and have a total of 704 hits.

The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.387 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.68 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.25 (722 strikeouts against 321 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 769. They have surrendered 116 home runs and they allow 5.23 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 457 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.74 (414 earned runs yielded).

With 78 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 44 holds and also 12 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have walked away with 19 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 86 times in high leverage situations and also on 90 occasions with runners on. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.4% out of their 143 inherited runners. They rank 16th in the league with a save rate of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 317 relievers to the mound on the season.

In 7,077 innings played, the Tigers have a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (19th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have twisted 77 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in professional baseball). The Tigers have accrued 803 assists, 55 errors and have a total of 2,359 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Mize has surrendered 111 base hits while he has tallied 103 K's in 123 innings. Mize (5-8 career record) has a 4.37 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 60 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 5.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 520 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-127)

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