Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+165) Toronto (-227)

Alek Manoah and the Toronto Blue Jays (82-65, 4th in AL East) host the Minnesota Twins (65-83, 5th in AL Central) at Rogers Centre on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Twins priced at +165 and the Blue Jays are at -227. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Joe Ryan and Alek Manoah.

The Twins have hit 246 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 210 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .423 and have been rung up 1,278 times, while being walked on 487 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in MLB. They have 629 RBI's and 1,193 hits for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .240. They have a total of 665 runs and have an OBP of .314.

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The Twins have a team ERA of 4.87 for the season (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,195 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 438 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.69 as a unit on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.32. Twins pitchers have surrendered 223 long balls in addition to 772 total runs (28th in baseball).

The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 64.9% and has come into the game in 134 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 157 runners so far this season and 44.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 120 times and also have had 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 474 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have racked up 76 holds on the year (11th in baseball). They have earned 37 saves this year and have blown 20 out of their 57 chances to get a save.

The Twins have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,667 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have 3,889 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,314 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which ranks 28th in the majors, and have accumulated 971 double plays.

Ryan (1-1 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.40 while going up against 60 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 7 base hits (3.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 2 walks. His ERA is 2.12 (4 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.529. Ryan has taken the mound for 17 innings and has accumulated 14 strikeouts so far in his career.

Toronto has hit 234 home runs on the year as well as 745 RBIs. They have put up 254 doubles, while walking 455 times and notching 774 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have a team OBP of .332 in addition to a batting average of .267 on the campaign. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .464 and they have an average of 5.27 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,115 occasions (29th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,324 hits.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.229 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 3.14 (1,327 strikeouts against 422 free passes). They are sitting at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,144. They have yielded 190 dingers and they relinquish 4.26 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 603 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.89 (551 earned runs yielded).

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 220 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 147 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on base. With 106 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 57 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have dispatched 489 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 46 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 108 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,259 assists, 85 errors and have notched a total of 3,823 putouts this season. In 11,469 innings played, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (9th in the majors).

In his career, Manoah has surrendered 65 base hits while earning 102 strikeouts in 93 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 35 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.032 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and he has faced 383 opposing batters during his career. Manoah (6-2 career win-loss record) holds a 3.39 ERA while allowing 6.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+165)

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