New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Boston (-156)

Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (73-77, 3rd in NL East) travel to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (86-65, 2nd in AL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at -156 while the Mets are coming in at +125. The total opens at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Marcus Stroman and Eduardo Rodriguez.

New York has a slugging percentage of .391 and have been called out on strikes 1,282 times, while drawing a walk on 462 occasions. They have 561 runs batted in and 1,152 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is .239. The Mets have tallied 210 doubles as a squad and have hit 165 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 592 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 27th in the league.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 3.84 over the course of the season (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,351 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 432 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a team this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Mets pitchers have surrendered 174 long balls and 612 runs in total (8th in baseball).

Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 127 times and also have had 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 70 holds on the season (17th in MLB). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 58.2% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. They have recorded 39 saves on the season and have blown 28 out of their 67 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 187 runners over the course of the season with 32.1% of them crossed the plate. The Mets have dispatched 502 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The New York Mets have a tally of 3,841 putouts on the year, as well as 1,218 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which has them ranked 23rd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 979 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,523 innings, which has them sitting 17th in pro baseball.

Stroman has pitched in 1,018 frames and has accounted for 846 punch outs in his MLB career. Stroman (60-59 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.58 and he has faced 4,235 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.61 (409 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.263. He has surrendered 1,002 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 284 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .261 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,293 occasions (16th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,338 hits. Boston has 201 home runs on the campaign to go along with 735 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .448 and they are scoring 5.14 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have 314 doubles, while walking 474 times as well as notching 776 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.379 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a squad over the course of the season. They are sitting at 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,318. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 702 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.25 (625 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.80 (1,412 strikeouts vs 505 bases on balls). They have conceded 165 long balls and they surrender 4.78 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 70 save chances and they have earned 46 saves. They are ranked 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.7%, and they have dispatched 517 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations and on 165 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 252 inherited base runners. With 160 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 85 holds in addition to 24 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 134 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 1,331 assists, 104 errors and have earned a total of 3,966 putouts for the season. In 11,898 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 65.8% (30th in baseball).

Rodriguez (62-39 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.19 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has gone up against 3,583 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 392 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Rodriguez has surrendered 815 base hits and he has 872 strikeouts in 841 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-156)

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