New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-120) Chicago (+110)

David Peterson and the New York Mets (7-4, 1st in NL East) are headed to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (6-9, 5th in NL Central). The Cubs open this game at +110 while the Mets are priced at -120. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are David Peterson and Zach Davies.

New York has a slugging rate of .353 and have been called out on strikes 87 times, while being walked on 37 occasions. They have earned 34 runs batted in and 83 hits on the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .246. The Mets have hit 14 doubles as a squad and have hit 6 baseballs out of the park. They have 37 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .334. As a squad, the New York Mets are putting up 3.4 runs per outing, which is 29th in MLB.

Mets pitchers have given up 8 home runs in addition to 37 total runs (1st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 22 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 2.77 as a team this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 4.86 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.04. The Mets have an earned run average of 2.93 this season (5th in the league), and the staff has rung up 107 batters.

The Mets have dispatched 26 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 runners on the year and 45.5% of those runners ended up scoring. They have compiled 2 saves so far this year and have not converted 2 of 4 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. The relievers have a total of 4 holds this year (25th in baseball). Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 6 times and also have had 10 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accounted for 267 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 88 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 11th in the majors, and have a total of 69 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 801 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in professional baseball.

Peterson has taken the hill for 59 innings and is sitting with 55 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Peterson (7-3 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.58 and he has faced 247 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.92 (26 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.207. He has conceded 46 base knocks (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 26 walks.

Chicago has accounted for 22 HRs so far this year as well as 50 RBIs. They have hit 15 doubles, while walking 49 times as well as racking up 51 runs. The Chicago Cubs have recorded an OBP of .285 as well as a team batting average of .192 on the campaign. The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .379 and they score 3.40 runs per outing (28th in baseball). They have struck out on 151 occasions (12th in MLB) and have tallied 89 hits.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.462 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.55 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.87 (140 strikeouts vs 75 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 118. They have conceded 16 homers and they relinquish 5.05 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 74 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.98 (73 earned runs given up).

Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 5 save chances and they have walked away with 4 saves. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have sent 61 relievers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and also on 18 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.4% of 35 inherited runners. Sitting with 14 save situations, the Cubs have 8 holds and also 1 blown save.

In 1,188 innings played, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (16th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 14 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .991 (4th in MLB). The Cubs have recorded 147 assists, 5 errors and have a total of 396 putouts this season.

Davies (51-38 career win-loss record) has a 3.90 ERA and has given up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.43 and he has faced 2,925 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 301 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.2. Thus far in his career, Davies has surrendered 689 base knocks while he has earned 505 punch outs in 695 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)

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