New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-105) Cincinnati (-116)

Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (48-44, 2nd in NL Central) play the New York Mets (47-42, 1st in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The Mets open this game at -105 while the Reds are coming in at -116. The O/U opens at 11. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tylor Megill and Wade Miley.

New York is slugging .375 and have been called out on strikes 761 times, while taking a walk on 281 occasions. They have accumulated 322 runs batted in as well as 641 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .230. The Mets have accumulated 116 two-baggers as a team and have hit 91 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 335 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .311. As a unit, the New York Mets are knocking in 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 29th in MLB.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.51 so far this season (6th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 815 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 260 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.73 as a team this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18. Mets pitchers have surrendered 90 home runs and 331 total runs (2nd in MLB).

The Mets have dispatched 272 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 104 base runners for the season and 33.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 24 saves so far this year and have missed out on 13 of their 37 chances to save the game. The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 64.9% and has come into the game in 77 save situations. The relievers have a total of 39 holds for the year (23rd in the league). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 68 times in addition to having 89 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have earned 2,239 putouts thus far, in addition to 715 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 564 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,717 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB.

Megill has thrown 18 innings and has totaled 26 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.50 (7 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.278. He has conceded 14 base knocks (7.0 hits per 9 innings) with 9 walks. Megill (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.11 while going up against 77 hitters in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a batting average of .247 so far this year. They have been rung up on 817 occasions (14th in MLB) and have earned a total of 765 hits. Cincinnati has 115 home runs for the season to go along with 424 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .413 and they are earning 4.84 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have put up 155 two-baggers, while taking a walk 320 times as well as putting up 445 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 445 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.44 (404 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 112 homers and they allow 4.89 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.375 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.30 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.36 (891 strikeouts vs 378 bases on balls). They are sitting at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 747.

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.9% out of 154 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 113 times in high leverage situations in addition to 106 occasions with runners on. With 85 save situations, the Reds have compiled 39 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 336 relievers onto the diamond this year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 44 save opportunities and they have come away with 26 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 59 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Reds have recorded 801 assists, 57 errors and are sitting with 2,456 putouts so far this season. In 7,368 innings on the diamond, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Miley has surrendered 1,552 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,203 strikeouts in 1,514 frames. He has given up 698 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.372 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and he has gone up against 6,491 batters thus far in his career. Miley (92-89 career mark) holds a 4.15 ERA and has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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