New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 4/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Saturday, April 17, 2021

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-112) Colorado (+102)

Joey Lucchesi and the New York Mets (5-3, 1st in NL East) go to Coors Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Colorado Rockies (3-10, 5th in NL West). The Rockies open this matchup at +102 while the Mets are coming in at -112. The total has been set at 10.5. The men taking the mound are Joey Lucchesi and German Marquez.

The Mets have tallied 10 two-baggers as a team and have hit 5 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .368 and have been called out on strikes 67 times, while drawing a walk on 34 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.6 runs per outing, which is 27th in the league. They have 26 runs batted in in addition to 63 hits this year, while their team batting average is at .252. They have notched a total of 29 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .358.

The Mets have an earned run average of 2.82 this year (3rd in the league), and they have rung up 79 batters. They have walked 19 opposing batters and their FIP is 2.97 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 4.16 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.10. Mets pitchers have conceded 6 home runs and also 26 total runs (1st in MLB).

The Mets relief pitchers have come into the game in 6 save situations. The relievers have inherited 11 runners for the year with 45.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 6 times in addition to having 8 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 21 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have tallied 4 holds so far this year (19th in MLB). They have accumulated 0 saves this year and have blown 2 of their 2 chances to get a save.

Lucchesi has taken the hill for 301 frames and has accounted for 311 strikeouts thus far in his career. Lucchesi (18-20 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.19 while he has gone up against 1,273 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.18 (140 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.274. He has conceded 283 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 101 free passes.

The Rockies hold a slugging % of .388 and they are recording 4.23 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have hit 18 doubles, while taking a walk 32 times and putting up 55 runs. Colorado has recorded 15 home runs on the campaign and 50 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 117 instances (15th in baseball) and have 100 hits. The Colorado Rockies have recorded an OBP of .277 as well as a batting average of .224 this year.

The Colorado pitching staff have conceded 68 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.85 (62 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 16 homers and they allow 5.32 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Rockies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.583 in addition to having a FIP of 5.08 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 1.52 (100 strikeouts vs 66 walks). They are sitting at 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 116.

Colorado relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 24.0% out of their 25 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 10 times in high leverage situations and on 15 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Rockies have amassed 1 hold and 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 25th in the league with a save rate of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 49 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Colorado has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves.

So far in his career, Marquez has allowed 650 base hits while he has earned 654 K's in 650 frames. He has allowed 306 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.282 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and he has gone up against 2,753 batters in his MLB career. Marquez (42-31 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.24 ERA and has given up 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-112)

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