New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, August 3, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-185) Miami (+140)

Braxton Garrett and the Miami Marlins (44-61, 5th in NL East) play the New York Mets (55-49, 1st in NL East) at Marlins Park on Tuesday. The Mets open this contest at -185 while the Marlins are priced at +140. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Taijuan Walker and Braxton Garrett.

New York is slugging .385 and have struck out 879 times, while being walked on 325 occasions. They have accounted for 382 RBI's and 773 hits so far this year, while their batting average comes in at .236. The Mets have tallied 136 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 113 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 397 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .314. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in the league.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.64 on the year (8th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 947 batters. They have walked 310 hitters and their FIP is 3.86 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.05 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Mets pitchers have relinquished 112 long balls and also 404 total runs (4th in baseball).

Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 81 times as well as having 104 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 47 holds so far this season (22nd in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.2% and has come into the game in 94 save situations. They have tallied 30 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 16 out of their 46 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 124 runners on the campaign with 33.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Mets have dispatched 332 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Mets have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,914 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have 2,638 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 836 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which is 9th in professional baseball, and they have turned 664 double plays.

Walker has pitched in 681 innings and has accumulated 625 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.82 (289 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.239. He has surrendered 622 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 222 free passes. Walker (42-39 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.19 and he has gone up against 2,878 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins have compiled an on-base percentage of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .234 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,008 occasions (5th in baseball) and have recorded 817 hits. Miami has 102 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 386 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .372 and they are recording 3.90 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have hit 147 doubles, while taking a walk 307 times as well as scoring 409 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 411 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.53 (361 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 93 home runs and they relinquish 4.02 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.212 in addition to having a FIP of 3.77 as a squad this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.73 (902 strikeouts against 331 free passes). They rank 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 785.

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.7% of 108 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with runners on. With 89 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 50 holds and also 21 blown saves. They are currently ranked 29th in the league with a save percentage of 46.2%, and they have dispatched 388 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves.

In 8,289 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (13th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have twisted 97 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 938 assists, 76 errors and have a total of 2,763 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Garrett has surrendered 34 hits while totaling 28 K's in 30 innings pitched. Garrett (2-2 career mark) has a 4.75 ERA and has surrendered 10.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 16 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.582 and having a FIP of 5.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.00 and he has gone up against 133 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+140)

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