New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, September 9, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-147) Miami (+115)

Marlins Park is the site where Jesus Luzardo and the Miami Marlins (57-81, 4th in NL East) will play the New York Mets (70-69, 3rd in NL East) on Thursday. The Marlins open this game at +115 while the Mets are priced at -147. The over/under opens at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Marcus Stroman and Jesus Luzardo.

The Mets have compiled 195 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 152 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .390 and have been called out on strikes 1,177 times, while drawing a walk on 422 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which is 28th in baseball. They have amassed 520 runs batted in in addition to 1,066 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .239. They have earned 546 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .316.

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Mets pitchers have surrendered 156 home runs in addition to 554 runs in total (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 402 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 3.09 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. The Mets have an earned run average of 3.77 for the year (7th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,243 batters.

Mets pitchers have come into the game with players on base 111 times in addition to having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 66 holds over the course of the season (17th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 60.7% and has entered the game in 129 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves on the year and have blown 24 of 61 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 runners over the course of the season with 32.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 454 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The New York Mets have accumulated 3,512 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,120 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 18th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 893 double plays. The Mets have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,536 innings on the field, which ranks them 10th in baseball.

Stroman has taken the hill for 1,006 innings and has 831 strikeouts so far in his career. Stroman (60-59 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.61 while going up against 4,187 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.63 (406 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.269. He has allowed 994 base knocks (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 283 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .302 and a batting average of .235 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,326 occasions (3rd in MLB) and are sitting with 1,074 base hits. Miami has a total of 132 home runs over the course of the season as well as 523 runs batted in. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .374 and they are recording 3.97 runs per outing (27th in the league). They have notched 202 doubles, while taking a walk 398 times and scoring 548 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 586 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.91 (524 earned runs allowed). They have given up 140 dingers and they relinquish 4.37 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.260 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a team for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 (1,158 strikeouts vs 444 walks). They come in at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,076.

With 114 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 64 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 50 save chances and they have come away with 26 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.9% out of 160 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB with a save rate of 52.0%, and they have dispatched 506 relievers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Miami Marlins have twisted 126 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,225 assists, 96 errors and have accounted for 3,593 putouts for the season. Out of their 10,779 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in baseball).

Luzardo (8-9 career record) has earned a 5.35 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and he has gone up against 627 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 85 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.413 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.9. During his pro baseball career, Luzardo has given up 146 base knocks while he has accumulated 146 K's in 143 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+115)

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