New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, September 24, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+145) Milwaukee (-196)

Tylor Megill and the New York Mets (73-79, 3rd in NL East) travel to American Family Field on Friday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (91-61, 1st in NL Central). The odds on this contest have the Mets coming in at +145 and the Brewers are at -196. The over/under opens at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Tylor Megill and Corbin Burnes.

New York has a slugging % of .391 and have been called out on strikes 1,303 times, while drawing a walk on 470 occasions. They have recorded 569 runs batted in in addition to 1,171 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .239. The Mets have tallied 213 doubles as a team and have hit 167 balls out of the park. They have 600 runs scored and hold an OBP of .316. As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.0 runs per outing, which is 28th in MLB.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 3.90 so far this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,364 batters. They have walked 439 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a unit so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. Mets pitchers have allowed 178 home runs and 630 runs in total (8th in baseball).

Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 128 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 70 holds so far this year (18th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 58.2% and has come into the game in 139 save situations. They have recorded 39 saves so far this year and have blown 28 of 67 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 189 base runners on the year and 32.8% of those players ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 508 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Mets have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,667 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in baseball. The New York Mets have earned 3,889 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,237 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which puts them in 24th in MLB, and have a total of 994 double plays.

Megill has taken the ball for 80 frames and has earned 91 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.57 (41 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.289. He has given up 82 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 22 walks. Megill (3-5 career record) holds a FIP of 4.38 and he has faced 342 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .234 for the year. They have struck out on 1,373 instances (9th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,176 hits. Milwaukee has accounted for 183 home runs this year to go along with 661 RBIs. The Brewers have a team SLG% of .397 and they tally 4.59 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 240 two-baggers, while walking 551 times as well as racking up 697 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 573 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.40 (510 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 152 homers and they yield 3.82 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.179 with a FIP of 3.64 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 (1,538 strikeouts against 511 free passes). They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,082.

Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of 142 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 182 times in high leverage situations in addition to 100 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Brewers have 76 holds and 26 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.3%, and they have dispatched 502 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 69 save chances and they have tallied 43 saves.

In 12,159 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 95 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,256 assists, 91 errors and have accumulated 4,053 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Burnes has conceded 250 base hits and he has 414 K's in 304 innings. Burnes (22-10 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.37 earned run average while allowing 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 114 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.106 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.76 and he has faced 1,249 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+145)

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