New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-222) Philadelphia (+145)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (2-0, 1st in NL East) will take on the New York Mets (0-0, 2nd in NL East) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets priced at -222 and the Phillies are at +145. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Matt Moore.

As a unit, the New York Mets put up 4.8 runs/g last year, which ranked them 13th in baseball. They earned a total of 286 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .348. The Mets hit 106 two-baggers as a team and hit 86 balls out of the stadium. They had 278 RBI's in addition to 551 hits over the course of the prior season, and their team batting average was .272. New York had a slugging % of .459 and were called out on strikes 498 times, while drawing a walk on 197 occasions.

Mets pitchers surrendered 81 home runs in addition to 308 runs in total (8th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 219 opposing hitters and their FIP was 4.46 as a unit for the prior year. They had a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.42. The Mets compiled a team earned run average of 4.98 for the prior year (22nd in the league), and they struck out 574 batters. The Mets bullpen accumulated a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the mound in 46 save situations. The relievers inherited 98 base runners over the course of last year with 33.7% of those players ended up scoring. Mets relief pitchers went to the mound with runners on in 48 contests and also 51 games with high leverage. The Mets sent forth 197 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of last season. The relievers tallied 27 holds over the course of last year (19th in the league). They had 11 saves for the previous season and missed out on 7 out of their 18 save chances.

Jacob deGrom surrendered 47 base knocks in 68 innings in which he pitched last year. His ERA sat at 2.38 and he fanned 104 opposing hitters. He surrendered 18 ER's last season and had a K/BB ratio of 5.8. He conceded 6.2 hits per nine innings and his WHIP was 0.956. deGrom held a FIP of 2.26 and an ERA+ of 183. deGrom has taken the mound for 1,169 innings and has racked up 1,359 punch outs so far in his career. deGrom (70-51 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.75 while he has faced 4,654 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.61 (339 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.047. He has allowed 941 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 284 walks.

Philadelphia had 82 home runs over the course of the prior season in addition to 289 RBIs. They put up 90 doubles, while walking 229 times and scoring 306 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies tallied an on-base percentage of .342 in addition to a batting average of .257 during the previous year. The Phillies held a team SLG% of .439 and they were recording 5.10 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They were rung up on 480 occasions (24th in MLB) and totaled 500 hits.

The Phillies had a WHIP of 1.479 with a FIP of 4.43 as a team over the course of last year. They were sitting at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 550. The Philadelphia pitching staff given up 311 runs over the course of the prior season while having an ERA of 5.14 (284 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 2.88 (532 strikeouts against 185 bases on balls). They surrendered 80 dingers and they gave up 5.63 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). Philadelphia had relievers enter the game in 53 save situations and they walked away with 11 saves. They were ranked 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 44.0%, and they sent 189 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 64 games with high leverage and also 84 contests with runners on base. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of their 121 inherited base runners. Ending the season with 25 opportunities for a save, the Phillies recorded 27 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

Moore earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.0 with 9 total strikeouts. He pitched in 10.0 innings last year while allowing 2.7 hits per 9 innings. Moore allowed 3 total hits while surrendering 0 ER's (0.00 ERA). His WHIP was 0.40 and he held a FIP of 1.71 throughout last season. In his career, Moore has conceded 885 hits while earning 806 K's in 894 frames. He has conceded 448 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.402 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.18 and he has faced 3,895 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Moore (54-56 mark in his career) has earned a 4.51 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+145)

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