New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+100) Philadelphia (-152)

Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (4-0, 1st in NL East) host the New York Mets (0-1, 4th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Mets coming in at +100 and the Phillies are at -152. The total opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be David Peterson and Aaron Nola.

As a unit, the New York Mets are knocking in 3.0 runs per outing, which is 26th in baseball. They have accumulated 3 runs while holding a team OBP of .350. They have amassed 3 runs batted in and 10 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .278. New York has a slugging % of .278 and have struck out 11 times, while being walked on 4 occasions.

The Mets hold a team earned run average of 2.25 on the campaign (5th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 8 batters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.67 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. Mets pitchers have surrendered 5 runs in total (30th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 3 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 2.89 as a squad for the year.

The Mets relief pitchers had a save percentage of 61.1% and came into the game in 46 save situations last year. The relief pitchers inherited 95 runners last season and 34.7% of those runners crossed the plate. Mets relief pitchers entered the game with players on base in 48 contests in addition to 51 games with high leverage. The Mets dispatched 197 relief pitchers to the hill in the prior season. The relief pitchers recorded 27 holds over the course of last year (19th in the league). They accumulated 11 saves over the course of the prior season and did not convert 7 of their 18 chances to get a save.

Peterson has taken the ball for 49 innings and is sitting with 40 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Peterson (6-2 career mark) has a FIP of 4.52 and he has faced 205 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.44 (19 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.208. He has allowed 36 base knocks (6.5 hits per nine innings) with 24 free passes.

Philadelphia has recorded 1 home run this season as well as 12 RBIs. They have notched 6 doubles, while getting a free base 14 times as well as recording 14 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .345 in addition to a team batting average of .256 over the course of the season. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .328 and they average 3.50 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have struck out on 44 occasions (9th in the league) and have notched a total of 32 base knocks.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 6 runs for the year while having an ERA of 1.46 (6 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 2 homers and they give up 1.46 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 0.838 and have a FIP of 2.41 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 5.11 (46 strikeouts against 9 free passes). They are currently ranked 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 22.

With 25 save opportunities, the Phillies accrued 27 holds and also 14 blown saves last year. Philadelphia called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 53 save situations and they converted 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers came into 64 games with high leverage and 84 games with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 32.0% of 115 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 44.0%, and they dispatched 189 relievers to the hill last season.

During his career, Nola has surrendered 729 hits while totaling 928 K's in 849 innings pitched. Nola (58-40 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.47 ERA and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 327 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.162 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.60 and he has faced 3,493 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+100)

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