New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Philadelphia (+135)

Taijuan Walker and the New York Mets (9-10, 3rd in NL East) travel to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (12-13, 2nd in NL East). The Mets open this game at -150 while the Phillies are coming in at +135. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Taijuan Walker and Zack Wheeler.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.0 runs per outing, which has them at 29th in MLB. They have accumulated 57 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .318. The Mets have compiled 22 doubles as a team and have smacked 15 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 54 RBI's and 139 base knocks this season, while their batting average is at .234. New York has a slugging rate of .353 and have been called out on strikes 162 times, while being walked on 61 occasions.

The Mets hold a team ERA of 3.05 this year (4th in the league), and the staff has rung up 195 hitters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.07. Mets pitchers have yielded 10 home runs and 70 total runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 50 opposing players and their FIP sits at 2.51 as a unit for the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 12 times as well as having 14 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 4 holds so far this season (30th in MLB). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 8 save situations. They have earned 2 saves on the year and have missed out on 2 of their 4 save chances. The relievers have inherited 24 runners this year with 37.5% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have dispatched 52 relievers to the mound this season.

The Mets have transformed 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,434 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 23rd in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accounted for 478 putouts thus far, as well as 164 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which is 24th in MLB, and have 125 double plays.

Walker has taken the ball for 602 innings and has totaled 551 K's thus far in his career. Walker (36-35 career record) has a FIP of 4.20 and he has faced 2,555 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.78 (253 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.246. He has given up 553 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 198 free passes.

The Phillies have a team SLG% of .382 and they average 3.80 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have put up 35 two-baggers, while taking a walk 76 times as well as earning 95 runs. Philadelphia has compiled 26 home runs so far this season and 91 runs batted in. They have struck out on 242 occasions (9th in baseball) and have 191 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .237 for the year.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.255 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 (222 strikeouts against 67 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 204. They have conceded 35 home runs and they concede 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 111 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.42 (106 earned runs yielded).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 43.3% out of 30 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 33 times in high leverage situations in addition to 19 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 17 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 6 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 74 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 11 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves.

In 1,944 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (20th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have twisted 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 206 assists, 13 errors and have a total of 648 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Wheeler has given up 791 hits and he has 814 strikeouts in 852 innings. He has allowed 348 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and he has gone up against 3,597 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (50-42 career win-loss mark) has a 3.68 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+135)

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