New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 22, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+140) Boston (-175)

Fenway Park is the venue where Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (57-38, 1st in AL East) will take on the New York Yankees (49-44, 4th in AL East) on Thursday. The Red Sox open this matchup at -175 while the Yankees are coming in at +140. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jordan Montgomery and Tanner Houck.

New York is slugging .399 and have struck out 844 times, while being walked on 375 occasions. They have 358 runs batted in and 718 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .236. The Yankees have accounted for 115 doubles as a unit and have knocked 123 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 388 runs while holding a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the New York Yankees are notching 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.78 for the year (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 880 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.26 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 108 home runs and 379 runs in total (8th in the league). They have walked 270 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.85 as a unit on the season.

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 81 times in addition to having 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 40 holds on the season (24th in MLB). The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save rate of 71.0% and has come into the game in 73 save situations. They have tallied 22 saves for the year and have missed out on 9 of their 31 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 runners on the season with 26.6% of those runners crossed the plate. The Yankees have dispatched 270 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Yankees have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,371 innings on the diamond, ranking them 8th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have earned a total of 2,457 putouts so far this season, as well as 768 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which is 13th in MLB, and have earned 618 double plays.

Montgomery has taken the mound for 329 innings and is sitting with 318 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.15 (152 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.247. He has surrendered 309 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 102 walks. Montgomery (16-15 career mark) has a FIP of 3.95 while facing 1,388 hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .257 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 822 occasions (18th in the league) and have 828 hits. Boston is sitting with 123 HRs so far this season to go along with 454 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .441 and they are earning 5.08 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have put up 203 doubles, while walking 278 times and putting up 483 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 423 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.11 (382 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 99 HR's and they give up 4.55 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.385 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 (884 strikeouts against 325 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 834.

Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.3% of 147 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 114 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 109 save situations, the Red Sox have 62 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 313 relievers to the mound for the year. Boston has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 44 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have twisted 95 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 865 assists, 67 errors and have earned a total of 2,512 putouts for the season. In 7,536 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 65.6% (30th in baseball).

Houck (3-2 career record) holds a 1.78 earned run average while giving up 6.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.27 and he has gone up against 119 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 6 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.055 and a FIP of 2.9. During his career, Houck has conceded 21 base hits while he has totaled 36 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+140)

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