New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, July 10, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+115) Houston (-141)

Gerrit Cole and the New York Yankees (44-42, 4th in AL East) travel to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Houston Astros (54-34, 1st in AL West). The Astros open this matchup at -141 while the Yankees are coming in at +115. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Gerrit Cole and Zack Greinke.

As a squad, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB. They have tallied 358 runs while having a team OBP of .322. The Yankees have tallied 106 doubles as a team and have hit 111 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 330 RBI's as well as 666 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .236. New York has a slugging % of .395 and have struck out 783 times, while taking a walk on 341 occasions.

The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.83 on the year (10th in the league), and they have rung up 817 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 247 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a team for the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.31 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 101 home runs and also 361 runs in total (11th in baseball).

The Yankees bullpen have recorded a save rate of 70.0% and has come into the game in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 99 base runners on the season and 26.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Yankees pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 75 times as well as having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 253 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 35 holds on the season (25th in the league). They have earned 21 saves on the season and have blown 9 of 30 save opportunities.

The Yankees have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,837 innings, ranking them 11th in baseball. The New York Yankees have a total of 2,279 putouts on the year, as well as 726 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and have a total of 567 double plays.

Cole (109-59 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.10 and he has gone up against 5,539 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,168 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 352 walks. His ERA is 3.17 (484 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.107. Cole has taken the ball for 1,373 innings and has earned 1,565 strikeouts during his career.

Houston has recorded 113 home runs this season to go along with 467 runs batted in. They have notched 164 doubles, while getting a free base 332 times as well as recording 488 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .347 as well as a batting average of .272 on the campaign. The Astros have a SLG% of .442 and they score 5.55 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have struck out on 648 occasions (30th in the league) and have 822 base hits.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 348 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.60 (314 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 101 homers and they concede 3.98 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.181 with a FIP of 4.04 as a team so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.80 (791 strikeouts against 283 bases on balls). They sit at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 645.

Houston has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have come away with 21 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 262 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 89 times in high leverage situations in addition to 74 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 42.3% out of their 111 inherited base runners. With 75 save situations, the Astros have accrued 39 holds and 14 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have twisted 66 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in MLB). The Astros have accrued 735 assists, 36 errors and have a total of 2,358 putouts so far this season. Out of their 7,074 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (2nd in MLB).

During his career, Greinke has given up 2,831 base hits while tallying 2,771 punch outs in 3,050 innings pitched. Greinke (216-128 career win-loss mark) has a 3.38 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 1,145 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.97 and he has faced 12,445 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+115)

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