New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 30, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-135) Miami (+110)

Jameson Taillon and the New York Yankees (53-47, 3rd in AL East) travel to Marlins Park on Friday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (44-58, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Yankees priced at -135 and the Marlins are at +110. The over/under is set at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon and Zach Thompson.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are recording 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 25th in the league. They have 415 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .324. The Yankees have tallied 130 doubles as a team and have knocked 127 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 384 runs batted in as well as 773 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is .236. New York owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have been called out on strikes 918 times, while being walked on 404 occasions.

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The Yankees have compiled a team ERA of 3.74 for the year (10th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 947 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.16 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18. Yankees pitchers have conceded 112 home runs and 407 total runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 300 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.80 as a unit so far this year.

The Yankees relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 88 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 118 runners over the course of the season and 29.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 89 times as well as having 125 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 295 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have earned 47 holds this year (20th in MLB). They have 25 saves for the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 39 save opportunities.

The New York Yankees have accounted for 2,648 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 823 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them sitting 16th in MLB, and have accumulated 664 double plays. The Yankees have turned 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,944 innings, which has them sitting 7th in the majors.

Taillon has taken the hill for 561 innings and has accumulated 512 strikeouts so far in his career. Taillon (35-28 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.71 while going up against 2,350 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.79 (236 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.246. He has given up 553 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 146 free passes.

Miami has hit 102 home runs for the year as well as 384 RBIs. They have 145 doubles, while walking 301 times and putting up 405 runs. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .304 as well as a team batting average of .236 so far this year. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .377 and they earn 3.97 runs per outing (27th in baseball). They have been rung up on 980 occasions (6th in the league) and have recorded 801 hits.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.213 in addition to having a FIP of 3.78 as a unit for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 (870 strikeouts against 319 walks). They sit at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 765. They have conceded 91 long balls and they allow 4.04 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 401 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.55 (353 earned runs surrendered).

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 39.4% out of their 99 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and on 70 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Marlins have 49 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They are ranked 29th in MLB holding a save rate of 47.4%, and they have dispatched 375 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have converted 18 saves.

In their 8,046 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (11th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 95 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in the majors). The Marlins have 909 assists, 73 errors and have a total of 2,682 putouts so far this season.

Thompson (2-3 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 2.45 ERA while giving up 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.60 and he has gone up against 135 hitters during his career. He has conceded a total of 9 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.061 and a FIP of 2.9. So far in his career, Thompson has allowed 25 base knocks while he has accumulated 36 punch outs in 33 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-135)

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