Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, May 7, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+139) Atlanta (-151)
Truist Park is the site where Charlie Morton and the Atlanta Braves (14-16, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (16-15, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The Braves open this matchup at -151 while the Phillies are priced at +139. The over/under opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zach Eflin and Charlie Morton.
Philadelphia is slugging .380 and have been rung up 306 times, while drawing a walk on 91 occasions. They have compiled 117 runs batted in and 228 hits on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .230. The Phillies have accounted for 39 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 34 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 123 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .300. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 23rd in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have given up 40 home runs in addition to 137 total runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 89 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.12 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.13 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.40 over the course of the season (22nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 279 hitters.
Phillies pitchers have come into the game with players on base 26 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 15 holds on the season (17th in the league). The Phillies relievers have recorded a save percentage of 62.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 32 save situations. They have earned 10 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of their 16 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 42 runners so far this season and 52.4% of them crossed the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 95 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.
The Phillies have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs in their 2,430 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 24th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 810 putouts for the season, as well as 258 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 7th in the majors, and have a total of 199 double plays.
Eflin (30-34 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.48 and he has gone up against 2,207 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 551 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 131 walks. His ERA is 4.55 (261 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.320. Eflin has taken the ball for 516 innings and has tallied 422 K's during his pro baseball career.
The Braves have a SLG% of .424 and they tally 4.67 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have recorded 47 doubles, while walking 108 times and racking up 140 runs. Atlanta has compiled 44 long balls for the season as well as 135 RBIs. They have struck out on 259 occasions (18th in baseball) and have a total of 228 base hits. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .234 for the season.
The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 149 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.81 (138 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 44 dingers and they give up 5.20 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.391 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.67 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.45 (277 strikeouts against 113 walks). They have a ranking of 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 246.
Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 11 save chances and they have come away with 7 saves. They are currently ranked 17th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 108 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 48 times in high leverage situations and on 25 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.3% out of their 38 inherited base runners. With 32 save situations, the Braves have recorded 20 holds in addition to 4 blown saves.
In their 2,325 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (20th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have turned 16 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in baseball). The Braves have accrued 266 assists, 13 errors and are sitting with 775 putouts over the course of the season.
Morton (95-90 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.11 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.48 and he has faced 6,342 batters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 672 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.331 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Morton has allowed 1,431 base hits while he has tallied 1,315 K's in 1,473 innings pitched.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+139) and over 8.5 runs
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