Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: Bally Sports South
Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+130) Atlanta (-167)
Ian Anderson and the Atlanta Braves (84-72, 1st in NL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (81-76, 2nd in NL East) at Truist Park on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Phillies coming in at +130 and the Braves are at -167. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Ian Anderson.
Philadelphia has a slugging % of .410 and have struck out 1,350 times, while drawing a walk on 556 occasions. They have amassed 685 runs batted in and 1,255 base knocks this season, while their team batting average sits at .241. The Phillies have tallied 255 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 192 balls out of the park. They have earned 719 runs while having a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.6 runs per outing, which has them at 12th in baseball.
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Phillies pitchers have given up 196 home runs and also 725 total runs (16th in MLB). They have walked 493 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.16 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. The Phillies have an ERA of 4.40 for the year (20th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,435 hitters.
The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 51.4% and has entered the game in 146 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 219 base runners so far this year with 40.6% of them crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 141 times as well as having 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 508 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have accumulated 70 holds this season (21st in MLB). They have earned 36 saves for the year and have blown 34 out of their 70 chances to get a save.
The Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,399 innings, ranking them 23rd in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have 4,133 putouts this season, as well as 1,399 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them sitting 21st in baseball, and have 1,020 double plays.
Gibson (79-82 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.28 while facing 5,728 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,369 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 484 free passes. His earned run average is 4.44 (657 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.391. Gibson has pitched in 1,332 frames and has tallied 1,050 punch outs during his career.
The Atlanta Braves have accumulated an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .243 on the year. They have been rung up on 1,406 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 1,266 hits. Atlanta is sitting with 232 home runs this season and 736 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .434 and they score 4.90 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have 260 doubles, while getting a free base 535 times as well as putting up 764 runs.
The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.73 (1,380 strikeouts vs 506 walks). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,204. They have conceded 178 homers and they concede 4.23 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 642 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (595 earned runs yielded).
With 175 save situations, the Braves have accrued 110 holds and 26 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 64 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 218 times in high leverage situations and also on 127 occasions with runners on. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 183 inherited base runners. They rank 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 59.4%, and they have dispatched 562 relievers to the hill this season.
The Atlanta Braves have turned 99 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (2nd in the majors). The Braves have recorded 1,428 assists, 68 errors and have a tally of 4,097 putouts so far this season. In their 12,291 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (6th in pro baseball).
During his MLB career, Anderson has surrendered 123 base hits while earning 163 punch outs in 154 frames. He has conceded 56 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and he has gone up against 649 batters so far in his career. Anderson (11-7 career mark) holds a 3.26 ERA and has surrendered 7.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+130)
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