Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 11, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (54-34, 1st in AL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (42-43, 2nd in NL East) at Fenway Park on Sunday.

The Phillies have accumulated 135 doubles as a team and have smacked 99 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .400 and have struck out 799 times, while drawing a walk on 285 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have amassed 364 RBI's in addition to 676 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .239. They have accumulated 381 runs scored and hold an OBP of .315.

The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 4.34 this year (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 787 batters. They have walked 255 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.11 as a squad for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 107 home runs and 394 total runs (19th in the league).

The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 46.3% and has come into the game in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners so far this season and 44.0% of them ended up scoring. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 72 times as well as having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 263 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 35 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). They have earned 19 saves on the year and have blown 22 of their 41 save opportunities.

The Phillies have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,693 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 24th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 2,231 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 748 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which has them ranked 16th in the majors, and have a total of 547 double plays.

Nola has thrown 944 innings and has earned 1,048 punch outs in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.58 (376 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. He has allowed 823 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 281 walks. Nola (64-45 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.43 while he has gone up against 3,893 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .437 and they are earning 5.08 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have hit 185 doubles, while taking a walk 246 times as well as putting up 447 runs. Boston has accounted for 110 home runs on the season and 419 RBIs. They have struck out on 766 instances (15th in baseball) and are sitting with 770 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .258 this year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.385 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.87 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.75 (821 strikeouts against 299 bases on balls). They are sitting at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 779. They have yielded 90 homers and they concede 4.46 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 386 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.00 (346 earned runs surrendered).

With 107 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 43 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 113 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% of 131 inherited runners. They are ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have sent 288 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

Out of their 7,005 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 88 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 801 assists, 60 errors and have earned 2,335 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Pivetta has surrendered 503 hits while he has accumulated 543 punch outs in 498 frames. Pivetta (28-33 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 5.16 ERA while surrendering 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 286 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.400 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and he has faced 2,159 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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