Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-111) Chicago (-111)

Jake Arrieta and the Chicago Cubs (42-42, 3rd in NL Central) host the Philadelphia Phillies (39-42, 4th in NL East) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. The Phillies open this matchup at -111 while the Cubs are coming in at -111. The over/under opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Jake Arrieta.

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The Phillies have hit 125 doubles as a team and have knocked 86 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .387 and have struck out 768 times, while being walked on 269 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in baseball. They have 329 RBI's and 632 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .236. They have accounted for 342 runs scored and hold an OBP of .312.

The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.32 so far this year (18th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 752 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have allowed 102 home runs and 373 runs in total (17th in the league). They have walked 248 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a squad so far this season.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 70 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 34 holds so far this season (24th in baseball). The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save rate of 46.3% and has come into the game in 77 save situations. They have accumulated 19 saves for the season and have not converted 22 out of their 41 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 106 runners this year and 43.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Phillies have sent 251 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Phillies have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,378 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 2,126 putouts thus far, as well as 715 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them ranked 16th in baseball, and have a total of 523 double plays.

Nola has thrown 938 frames and has totaled 1,040 K's during his career. Nola (63-45 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.43 while he has faced 3,868 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.57 (372 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.170. He has given up 817 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 280 walks.

The Chicago Cubs have a team OBP of .303 in addition to a batting average of .223 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 817 occasions (4th in baseball) and are sitting with 605 base hits. Chicago has hit 108 long balls so far this year to go along with 330 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .393 and they tally 4.13 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have 104 two-baggers, while getting a free base 272 times and earning 347 runs.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.294 with a FIP of 4.40 as a staff for the year. They sit at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 632. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 352 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.94 (322 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.35 (749 strikeouts against 319 walks). They have allowed 100 long balls and they give up 4.31 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of 130 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 94 times in high leverage situations and on 84 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 57 holds and 9 blown saves. They sit at 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 71.9%, and they have dispatched 309 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Chicago has called on relievers to enter the game in 32 save chances and they have recorded 23 saves.

Out of their 6,615 innings played, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have twisted 70 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in pro baseball). The Cubs have racked up 803 assists, 41 errors and are sitting with 2,205 putouts for the season.

Arrieta (115-87 career record) has a 3.84 ERA and has conceded 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and he has gone up against 6,619 batters so far in his career. He has allowed a total of 677 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 4.0. So far in his career, Arrieta has allowed 1,399 base hits while he has tallied 1,412 K's in 1,586 frames.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-111) and over 8.5 runs

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