Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-125) Miami (+100)

Ranger Suarez and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-64, 2nd in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (55-79, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies priced at -125 and the Marlins are at +100. The O/U has been set at 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ranger Suarez and Jesus Luzardo.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 1,155 times, while drawing a walk on 468 occasions. They have tallied 577 runs batted in and 1,053 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .241. The Phillies have recorded 215 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 159 baseballs out of the park. They have 605 runs and hold an OBP of .319. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 12th in baseball.

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Phillies pitchers have allowed 168 home runs in addition to 613 total runs (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 413 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.40 on the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,191 hitters.

Phillies pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 115 times in addition to having 131 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 53 holds on the season (26th in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 53.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 117 save situations. They have 31 saves so far this season and have missed out on 27 of 58 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 173 base runners this season with 43.4% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have sent 415 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,470 putouts this year, as well as 1,181 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which ranks 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 862 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,410 innings, ranking them 25th in baseball.

Suarez has thrown 134 innings and has 119 K's during his pro baseball career. Suarez (13-7 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.89 while facing 569 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.07 (46 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.300. He has surrendered 126 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 49 walks.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .376 and they are recording 3.95 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have notched 196 doubles, while taking a walk 382 times and putting up 525 runs. Miami has tallied 128 long balls this year as well as 501 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,274 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have earned 1,043 base knocks. The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team OBP of .304 as well as a batting average of .237 this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 4.01 as a team on the season. They have a ranking of 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,042. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 564 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.93 (507 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.61 (1,123 strikeouts against 430 bases on balls). They have conceded 133 homers and they relinquish 4.37 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

With 113 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 64 holds and also 24 blown saves. Miami has had relievers step onto the mound in 49 save chances and they have walked away with 25 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 139 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.0% of 150 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB holding a save rate of 51.0%, and they have dispatched 485 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

In 10,455 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 122 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,190 assists, 89 errors and are sitting with 3,485 putouts for the season.

Luzardo (8-9 career mark) holds a 5.37 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and he has gone up against 603 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 82 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.420 and having a FIP of 4.9. In his career, Luzardo has allowed 141 base knocks while he has tallied 143 K's in 137 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+100)

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