Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, September 7, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+110) Milwaukee (-135)

Eric Lauer and the Milwaukee Brewers (84-54, 1st in NL Central) play the Philadelphia Phillies (70-66, 2nd in NL East) at American Family Field on Tuesday. The Phillies open this matchup at +110 while the Brewers are coming in at -135. The O/U opens at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Eric Lauer.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,186 times, while drawing a walk on 481 occasions. They have accrued 592 RBI's as well as 1,082 hits on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .240. The Phillies have accounted for 221 two-baggers as a team and have hit 163 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 621 runs and hold an OBP of .318. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 13th in baseball.

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Phillies pitchers have conceded 173 home runs and 635 runs in total (17th in baseball). They have walked 427 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 2.89 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.43 for the season (19th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,233 batters.

The Phillies have sent 435 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 188 base runners on the campaign with 44.1% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 32 saves over the course of the season and have blown 29 of their 61 chances to save the game. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 52.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 126 save situations. The relievers have a total of 59 holds on the year (24th in MLB). Phillies pitchers have come into the game with players on base 121 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,725 innings, which has them sitting at 25th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 3,575 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,214 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them ranked 25th in the majors, and have a total of 886 double plays.

Nola has pitched in 995 frames and has accumulated 1,108 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Nola (65-47 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.44 and he has faced 4,099 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.63 (402 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.158. He has given up 860 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 293 free passes.

Milwaukee is sitting with 165 long balls this year as well as 602 runs batted in. They have put up 218 two-baggers, while getting a free base 498 times and putting up 635 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated an on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .236 so far this year. The Brewers hold a team slugging percentage of .399 and they score 4.60 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,258 instances (6th in MLB) and have earned 1,076 hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.187 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.94 (1,380 strikeouts against 470 walks). They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 984. They have surrendered 136 dingers and they relinquish 3.80 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 517 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.42 (466 earned runs conceded).

Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 128 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 167 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 72 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have sent 456 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 62 save chances and they have converted 38 saves.

In 11,025 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 85 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (24th in baseball). The Brewers have accrued 1,143 assists, 82 errors and have accounted for 3,675 putouts for the year.

During his career, Lauer has allowed 379 base hits while he has earned 336 strikeouts in 362 innings pitched. He has surrendered 178 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.428 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.43 and he has gone up against 1,594 opposing batters so far in his career. Lauer (18-24 career record) holds a 4.43 earned run average while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+110)

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