Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/13/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 13, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-132) New York (-116)

Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (6-3, 1st in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Tuesday where they'll meet the New York Mets (2-3, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this matchup at -132 while the Mets are coming in at -116. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Taijuan Walker.

The Phillies have hit 14 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 10 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .399 and have struck out 90 times, while drawing a walk on 24 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 19th in MLB. They have accrued 35 RBI's and 71 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .242. They have tallied 38 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .311.

The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.71 on the season (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 82 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 27 opposing players and their FIP is 4.01 as a team on the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19. Phillies pitchers have allowed 11 home runs in addition to 35 runs in total (16th in the league).

The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 75.0% and has come into the game in 5 save situations. The relievers have inherited 11 base runners over the course of the season with 36.4% of them crossed home plate. Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 6 times and also have had 13 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 28 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen have tallied 1 hold this year (28th in MLB). They have earned 3 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 1 of 4 save chances.

Nola has pitched in 853 innings and has accounted for 933 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.46 (328 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.166. He has surrendered 735 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 260 free passes. Nola (58-40 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.42 and he has gone up against 3,514 hitters in the major leagues.

New York has a total of 3 home runs for the season to go along with 14 runs batted in. They have notched 7 two-baggers, while walking 24 times and racking up 16 runs. The New York Mets are sitting with an OBP of .333 as well as a team batting average of .222 this year. The Mets hold a slugging % of .333 and they are recording 3.20 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 46 instances (30th in MLB) and have earned a total of 36 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 22 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.77 (18 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 5 homers and they concede 4.60 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.209 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.61 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.69 (48 strikeouts vs 13 free passes). They come in at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 39.

With 3 save situations, the Mets have amassed 2 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Their relief pitchers have come in 3 times in high leverage situations and also on 3 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 71.0% out of 7 inherited runners. They have sent 14 relievers to the mound this year.

During his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 545 hits while earning 532 punch outs in 587 frames. Walker (35-34 mark in his career) has a 3.83 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 250 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.244 and having a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and he has faced 2,491 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-116)

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