Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/15/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, April 15, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+204) New York (-225)

Citi Field is the site where Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (4-3, 1st in NL East) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (6-5, 2nd in NL East) on Thursday. The Phillies open this matchup at +204 while the Mets are coming in at -225. The over/under opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Zach Eflin and Jacob deGrom.

The Phillies have hit 15 doubles as a team and have hit 10 balls out of the park. Philadelphia is slugging .377 and have been called out on strikes 107 times, while drawing a walk on 29 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 3.7 runs per game, which is 26th in MLB. They have 38 RBI's and 83 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .241. They have accumulated 41 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .308.

The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.96 for the season (13th in MLB), and they have struck out 96 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 12 long balls in addition to 43 total runs (20th in baseball). They have walked 35 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.07 as a squad so far this year.

The Phillies have sent 33 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 runners over the course of the season and 36.4% of those players crossed the plate. They have tallied 3 saves this year and have missed out on 2 out of their 5 save chances. The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 6 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 1 hold so far this season (29th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 7 times and also have had 16 appearances in high leverage situations.

Eflin (29-33 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.63 and he has gone up against 2,100 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 519 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 131 walks. His ERA is 4.60 (251 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.324. Eflin has pitched in 491 frames and has earned 398 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

New York has compiled 4 long balls so far this season to go along with 22 runs batted in. They have hit 10 doubles, while taking a walk 32 times as well as notching 24 runs. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .350 as well as a team batting average of .236 this year. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .356 and they have an average of 3.43 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 60 instances (30th in MLB) and are sitting with 51 base hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.190 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.16 as a staff on the season. They are sitting at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 51. The New York pitching staff have allowed 25 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.10 (20 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.61 (65 strikeouts vs 18 walks). They have conceded 5 long balls and they yield 3.88 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league).

With 4 save situations, the Mets have 2 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 2 save opportunities. Their relief pitchers have come in 6 times in high leverage situations in addition to 5 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 55.6% out of their 9 inherited base runners. They are ranked 30th in the league holding a save rate of 0%, and they have dispatched 18 relievers to the mound for the year.

DeGrom (70-52 career record) is the owner of a 2.59 ERA while surrendering 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.83 and he has gone up against 4,703 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 340 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.043 and a FIP of 2.7. So far in his MLB career, deGrom has allowed 949 base knocks while he has totaled 1,380 K's in 1,183 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+204)

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