Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-120) New York (-111)
Rich Hill and the New York Mets (72-76, 3rd in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (75-72, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Sunday. The Mets open this game at -111 while the Phillies are priced at -120. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Rich Hill.
Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .411 and have struck out 1,262 times, while being walked on 520 occasions. They have tallied 649 RBI's and 1,178 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .242. The Phillies have tallied 239 doubles as a unit and have hit 181 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 681 runs scored and hold an OBP of .320. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 12th in the league.
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The Phillies have an ERA of 4.49 so far this year (20th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,347 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have given up 190 home runs and 692 runs (18th in the league). They have walked 458 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a unit for the year.
Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 136 times in addition to having 153 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 66 holds so far this season (22nd in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 50.8% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. They have tallied 33 saves over the course of the season and have blown 32 out of their 65 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 213 runners on the year and 41.8% of them crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 480 relievers to the hill this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 3,866 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,306 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which is 21st in MLB, and have accumulated 958 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,598 innings, which ranks them 26th in professional baseball.
Gibson has taken the hill for 1,319 frames and has earned 1,035 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.43 (650 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.395. He has conceded 1,359 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 481 walks. Gibson (79-81 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.29 and he has faced 5,677 opposing hitters in the majors.
The Mets hold a team SLG% of .391 and they have an average of 3.96 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have tallied 208 doubles, while getting a free base 458 times as well as scoring 586 runs. New York has compiled 163 long balls this season as well as 555 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,263 occasions (19th in MLB) and have a total of 1,138 base hits. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .316 and a team batting average of .239 on the year.
The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.223 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a unit this season. They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,119. The New York pitching staff have allowed 605 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (541 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.13 (1,331 strikeouts vs 425 walks). They have allowed 172 long balls and they yield 4.31 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).
With 138 save situations, the Mets have compiled 70 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 66 save chances and they have come away with 38 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.9% out of their 182 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in the league with a save rate of 57.6%, and they have sent 493 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.
The New York Mets have turned 110 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,205 assists, 86 errors and have accounted for 3,787 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,361 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in baseball).
So far in his MLB career, Hill has surrendered 926 hits and he has 1,166 punch outs in 1,120 frames. Hill (73-51 career win-loss record) has a 3.80 earned run average while conceding 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 473 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.217 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 4,687 opposing batters in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-111)
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