Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 4/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-106) St. Louis (-104)

Zach Eflin and the Philadelphia Phillies (10-11, 2nd in NL East) go to Busch Stadium on Tuesday where they'll take on the St. Louis Cardinals (11-10, 2nd in NL Central). The Phillies open this contest at -106 while the Cardinals are priced at -104. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Zach Eflin and Carlos Martinez.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .395 and have struck out 205 times, while drawing a walk on 69 occasions. They have 79 RBI's and 166 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .245. The Phillies have recorded 29 two-baggers as a team and have hit 23 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 83 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 19th in the league.

Phillies pitchers have given up 32 long balls and 98 total runs (21st in the league). They have walked 59 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.49 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.12 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.69 so far this season (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 184 hitters.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 14 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 3 holds for the season (30th in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 44.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 12 save situations. They have compiled 4 saves so far this year and have not converted 5 out of their 9 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 25 runners for the season and 40.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Phillies have dispatched 62 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Phillies have turned 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,626 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 542 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 175 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them sitting 9th in the majors, and they have twisted 135 double plays.

Eflin has taken the ball for 504 innings and has 407 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.54 (254 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.315. He has conceded 532 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 131 free passes. Eflin (30-33 career record) holds a FIP of 4.58 while he has gone up against 2,149 batters during his time in the majors.

St. Louis has accumulated 28 home runs this season to go along with 88 runs batted in. They have put up 24 two-baggers, while taking a walk 69 times as well as scoring 97 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied a team on-base percentage of .304 as well as a batting average of .226 on the season. The Cardinals hold a team slugging % of .393 and they average 4.62 runs per game (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 187 occasions (19th in the league) and have recorded 155 base knocks.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.344 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.13 as a staff for the year. They have a ranking of 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 158. The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 93 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.28 (87 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.05 (180 strikeouts vs 88 bases on balls). They have given up 18 homers and they concede 4.57 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.0% out of 31 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 11 times in high leverage situations in addition to 17 occasions with runners on. With 15 save situations, the Cardinals have 8 holds and also 1 blown save. They sit at 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 85.7%, and they have sent 71 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. St. Louis has called on relievers to enter the contest in 7 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 15 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (18th in pro baseball). The Cardinals have racked up 172 assists, 13 errors and have amassed 549 putouts so far this year. Out of their 1,647 innings played, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (18th in pro baseball).

Martinez (58-47 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.57 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.58 and he has faced 3,848 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 359 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his career, Martinez has surrendered 829 hits while he has tallied 883 strikeouts in 905 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-106)

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