Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+100) St. Louis (-110)

Johan Oviedo and the St. Louis Cardinals (11-11, 3rd in NL Central) host the Philadelphia Phillies (11-11, 2nd in NL East) at Busch Stadium on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies priced at +100 and the Cardinals are at -110. The O/U is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Vince Velasquez and Johan Oviedo.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .395 and have been called out on strikes 213 times, while drawing a walk on 69 occasions. They have recorded 81 runs batted in as well as 172 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .243. The Phillies have earned 29 doubles as a unit and have hit 25 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 85 runs scored while having a team OBP of .316. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which is 26th in the league.

The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.52 over the course of the season (22nd in the league), and they have rung up 193 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Phillies pitchers have given up 32 long balls and also 99 runs in total (20th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 62 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.38 as a team for the season.

Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 15 times as well as having 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 3 holds this year (30th in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 50.0% and has come into the game in 13 save situations. They have earned 5 saves for the season and have blown 5 of 10 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 26 base runners on the season with 42.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 63 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 569 putouts thus far, in addition to 183 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and have 142 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,707 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in the majors.

Velasquez has pitched in 564 innings and has totaled 628 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.75 (298 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.387. He has conceded 555 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 228 walks. Velasquez (28-35 career record) has a FIP of 4.36 while he has faced 2,437 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a team OBP of .299 as well as a team batting average of .220 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 196 occasions (17th in baseball) and have accounted for 157 hits. St. Louis has 28 long balls for the year as well as 89 RBIs. The Cardinals hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they have an average of 4.45 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have hit 24 two-baggers, while getting a free base 72 times and putting up 98 runs.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.313 with a FIP of 4.14 as a pitching staff this season. They are currently ranked 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 164. The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 95 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.17 (89 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.14 (188 strikeouts against 88 free passes). They have surrendered 20 homers and they surrender 4.45 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

With 15 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 8 holds and also 1 blown save. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 11 times in high leverage situations and on 17 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of their 31 inherited base runners. They rank 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 85.7%, and they have sent 71 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

The St. Louis Cardinals have twisted 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in pro baseball). The Cardinals have 184 assists, 13 errors and have a tally of 576 putouts so far this year. In 1,728 innings on the field, the Cardinals are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (13th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Oviedo has surrendered 26 base hits and he has 20 K's in 29 innings pitched. Oviedo (0-3 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.60 ERA and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 15 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.295 and having a FIP of 4.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.67 and he has faced 129 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (-110)

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