Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+135) Cincinnati (-154)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (1-1, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1, 4th in NL Central) on Tuesday. The Reds open this matchup at -154 while the Pirates are priced at +135. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Trevor Cahill and Wade Miley.

The Pirates have accumulated 3 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 2 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .333 and have been rung up 29 times, while being walked on 16 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 3.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 24th in the league. They have compiled 9 RBI's as well as 22 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is .222. They are sitting with 9 runs while holding a team OBP of .336.

The Pirates hold a team ERA of 3.96 so far this year (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 32 hitters. They have walked 15 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.08. Pirates pitchers have yielded 3 long balls and 12 runs in total (20th in MLB).

The Pirates dispatched 210 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season. The relief pitchers inherited 96 runners for the previous season and 37.5% of those players crossed home plate. They compiled 6 saves over the course of last year and blew 13 of their 19 chances to get a save. The Pirates relievers recorded a save rate of 31.6% and entered the game in 43 save situations. The relievers racked up 22 holds last year (24th in baseball). Pirates relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with players on base in 64 games as well as 64 games with high leverage.

Cahill was the owner of a FIP of 4.19 and an ERA+ of 132. Trevor Cahill allowed 16 base hits in 25 innings pitched last year. He conceded 9 earned runs over the course of last year with a K/BB ratio of 2.2. He gave up 5.8 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was 1.2. His ERA was at 3.24 and he struck out 31 batters. Cahill has taken the mound for 1,470 innings and has earned 1,119 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.20 (686 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.364. He has conceded 1,405 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 601 walks. Cahill (85-94 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.40 while he has faced 6,294 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .534 and they average 9.00 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They have put up 5 two-baggers, while walking 13 times and earning 27 runs. Cincinnati has recorded 6 long balls for the year to go along with 24 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 21 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned 30 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .388 in addition to a batting average of .291 so far this year.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.185 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.06 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.90 (29 strikeouts vs 10 walks). They have a ranking of 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 22. They have allowed 5 home runs and they relinquish 6.00 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 18 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 5.00 (15 earned runs relinquished).

Ending the season with 17 chances for a save last year, the Reds had 25 holds and 8 blown saves. Cincinnati had relief pitchers enter the game in 43 save situations and they tallied 9 saves. Their relievers came into 53 games with high leverage and 56 outings with runners on. Cincinnati relievers held an inherited score percentage of 31.0% of 91 inherited runners. They were ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 52.9%, and they dispatched 168 relievers to the mound last year.

Miley earned a K/BB ratio of 1.3 with 12 total punch outs and he held an ERA+ of 89. His WHIP was at 1.67 and he held a FIP of 4.73 last season. He pitched in 14.1 innings last year while giving up 9.4 hits per 9 innings. Miley gave up 15 total base hits while surrendering 9 earned runs (5.65 ERA). Thus far in his career, Miley has surrendered 1,466 base hits and he has 1,127 K's in 1,418 innings. He has surrendered 668 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.386 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.26 and he has faced 6,095 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Miley (85-85 record in his career) has earned a 4.24 earned run average and has given up 9.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-154)

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