Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, August 7, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+145) Cincinnati (-192)

Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-68, 5th in NL Central) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (58-51, 2nd in NL Central). The Reds open this matchup at -192 while the Pirates are coming in at +145. The total has been set at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Vladimir Gutierrez.

As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 30th in MLB. They have notched a total of 400 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .308. The Pirates have accrued 169 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 85 balls out of the park. They have compiled 377 runs batted in and 855 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average sits at .236. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .363 and have been rung up 885 times, while being walked on 348 occasions.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.02 so far this year (28th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 889 batters. They have walked 402 opposing players and their FIP is 4.61 as a unit on the campaign. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Pirates pitchers have yielded 137 home runs and also 556 total runs (27th in MLB).

Pirates pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 84 times and also have had 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 47 holds so far this year (24th in baseball). The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save rate of 60.0% and has entered the game in 74 save situations. They have compiled 15 saves on the year and have missed out on 10 out of their 25 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 141 base runners for the year and 35.5% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 379 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Pirates have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,445 innings, which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 2,815 putouts for the season, as well as 952 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 7th in MLB, and have a total of 767 double plays.

Keller has pitched in 122 frames and has accumulated 134 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 6.34 (86 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.705. He has given up 145 base knocks (10.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 63 walks. Keller (5-14 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.47 and he has faced 565 hitters in the majors.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .426 and they score 4.94 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have recorded 192 doubles, while walking 382 times as well as putting up 539 runs. Cincinnati has accounted for 144 home runs this season as well as 515 runs batted in. They have struck out on 978 occasions (11th in the league) and have accounted for 932 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .333 and a team batting average of .252 for the season.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 536 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.53 (490 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 144 home runs and they surrender 4.96 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.393 with a FIP of 4.47 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.32 (1,045 strikeouts against 451 bases on balls). They come in at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 904.

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 40.4% of 183 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 142 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with base runners. With 113 save situations, the Reds have tallied 57 holds and also 23 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 57.4%, and they have sent 404 relievers to the hill on the season. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 54 save chances and they have recorded 31 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 82 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in baseball). The Reds have 963 assists, 63 errors and have notched a total of 2,919 putouts so far this year. In 8,757 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (24th in MLB).

Gutierrez (6-3 career win-loss record) has a 4.39 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.53 and he has gone up against 291 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 33 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.360 and having a FIP of 5.8. So far in his MLB career, Gutierrez has given up 62 base knocks while he has tallied 46 strikeouts in 67 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-192)

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