Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+110) Detroit (-120)

Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates (7-9, 4th in NL Central) head to Comerica Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (6-10, 5th in AL Central). The Pirates open this matchup at +110 while the Tigers are coming in at -120. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Spencer Turnbull.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 19th in the league. They are sitting with 65 runs scored and have an OBP of .319. The Pirates have accounted for 29 doubles as a team and have hit 14 balls out of the park. They have compiled 63 runs batted in in addition to 127 hits this year, while their batting average is sitting at .235. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .377 and have struck out 154 times, while drawing a walk on 59 occasions.

Pirates pitchers have surrendered 21 home runs in addition to 81 total runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 65 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.58 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.26 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.37. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 4.92 on the campaign (25th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 147 hitters.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 15 times in addition to having 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 10 holds on the campaign (8th in the league). The Pirates bullpen have a save rate of 50.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 14 save situations. They have accumulated 1 save for the season and have not converted 1 out of their 2 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 22 runners on the year and 13.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Pirates have dispatched 64 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Pirates have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,251 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 417 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 145 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which puts them in 21st in MLB, and they have twisted 116 double plays.

Keller has thrown 81 frames and has 93 K's so far in his MLB career. Keller (3-8 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.45 while he has gone up against 371 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.22 (56 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.716. He has given up 97 hits (10.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 42 free passes.

The Detroit Tigers have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .278 and a batting average of .212 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 161 occasions (5th in the league) and are sitting with 111 base hits. Detroit has a total of 20 home runs so far this season and 55 runs batted in. The Tigers have a team slugging percentage of .369 and they have an average of 3.44 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have notched 16 two-baggers, while taking a walk 45 times as well as putting up 55 runs.

The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.433 with a FIP of 5.30 as a staff so far this year. They come in at 22nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 128. The Detroit pitching staff have relinquished 83 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 5.14 (79 earned runs allowed). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.86 (130 strikeouts against 70 free passes). They have allowed 26 long balls and they surrender 5.41 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.6% out of their 26 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 9 times in high leverage situations and on 14 occasions with runners on. With 14 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 8 holds and also 2 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 49 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Detroit has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 12 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (18th in pro baseball). The Tigers have recorded 129 assists, 10 errors and have accumulated 416 putouts so far this year. In their 1,248 innings played, the Tigers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (11th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Turnbull has given up 218 base knocks while tallying 212 strikeouts in 221 innings pitched. He has given up 112 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.401 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.30 and he has gone up against 967 batters during his MLB career. Turnbull (7-23 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.55 ERA and has conceded 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-120)

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