Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 9, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+185) New York (-250)

Marcus Stroman and the New York Mets (45-38, 1st in NL East) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-54, 5th in NL Central) at Citi Field on Friday. The Pirates open this game at +185 while the Mets are priced at -250. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Max Kranick and Marcus Stroman.

The Pirates have hit 127 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 66 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .354 and have been called out on strikes 697 times, while drawing a walk on 267 occasions. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 3.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 30th in MLB. They have 281 runs batted in in addition to 642 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .229. They have a total of 298 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .301.

The Pirates hold a team ERA of 4.67 so far this season (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 696 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 301 hitters and their FIP is 4.42 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Pirates pitchers have given up 99 home runs and also 403 runs in total (20th in baseball).

The Pirates relievers have accumulated a save rate of 75.0% and has entered the game in 51 save situations. The relievers have inherited 110 base runners over the course of the season with 28.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. Pirates relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 67 times in addition to having 62 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 292 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have 33 holds for the season (27th in the league). They have recorded 12 saves this season and have blown 4 of 16 save opportunities.

The Pirates have turned 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,609 innings on the field, which has them ranked 12th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tally of 2,203 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 756 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them sitting 9th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 603 double plays.

Kranick has taken the ball for 5 innings and has accumulated 3 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Kranick (1-0 career record) has a FIP of 1.97 while going up against 15 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

New York has hit 79 home runs this season as well as 286 runs batted in. They have recorded 105 two-baggers, while taking a walk 249 times and putting up 299 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .308 in addition to a batting average of .230 on the season. The Mets hold a slugging % of .369 and they are recording 3.69 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 704 occasions (25th in the league) and have accounted for 585 base knocks.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.149 in addition to having a FIP of 3.51 as a pitching staff so far this season. They rank 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 551. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 292 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.34 (253 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.24 (755 strikeouts against 233 walks). They have yielded 74 homers and they surrender 3.85 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.5% out of their 96 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 63 occasions with runners on. With 70 save situations, the Mets have recorded 35 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in the league holding a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 248 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have earned 23 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 62 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in MLB). The Mets have recorded 648 assists, 47 errors and have earned a total of 2,048 putouts on the season. In their 6,144 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (10th in professional baseball).

Stroman (57-53 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.65 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and he has gone up against 3,930 hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 382 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.275 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. In his career, Stroman has surrendered 933 hits while he has tallied 773 strikeouts in 942 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-250)

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