Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) San Diego (-135)

Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-15, 4th in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (16-13, 3rd in NL West). The Pirates open this matchup at +125 while the Padres are priced at -135. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Mitch Keller and Ryan Weathers.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 27th in the league. They have accounted for 102 runs scored while having a team OBP of .309. The Pirates have accrued 46 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 20 balls out of the park. They have recorded 98 RBI's and 200 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .227. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .353 and have been called out on strikes 233 times, while taking a walk on 94 occasions.

The Pirates have an ERA of 4.54 on the campaign (23rd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 234 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.49 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Pirates pitchers have given up 32 home runs and 128 runs in total (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 94 batters and their FIP is 4.28 as a team on the year.

Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 21 times as well as having 19 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 14 holds over the course of the season (14th in MLB). The Pirates bullpen have a save rate of 80.0% and has entered the game in 21 save situations. They have tallied 4 saves this season and have blown 1 of 5 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 34 runners so far this season and 23.5% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have sent 97 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Pirates have transformed 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,088 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 696 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 248 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 199 double plays.

Keller has thrown 88 frames and has tallied 100 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 6.32 (62 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.721. He has surrendered 105 base hits (10.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 47 walks. Keller (3-9 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.50 while going up against 406 hitters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with an OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .235 for the year. They have struck out on 244 instances (18th in MLB) and have earned a total of 227 hits. San Diego has hit 29 home runs on the year and 109 RBIs. The Padres have a team slugging % of .366 and they score 4.00 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They have 34 two-baggers, while taking a walk 116 times as well as earning 116 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.087 and have a FIP of 3.46 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.62 (326 strikeouts against 90 bases on balls). They sit at 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 196. They have conceded 32 homers and they concede 3.52 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 103 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.91 (85 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 38 save situations, the Padres have earned 20 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 17 save opportunities and they have earned 11 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 32 times in high leverage situations and on 21 occasions with base runners. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 18.8% out of their 32 inherited runners. They rank 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 115 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 25 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .976 (29th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 240 assists, 25 errors and have 789 putouts so far this year. In their 2,367 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in professional baseball).

During his career, Weathers has given up 4 hits while he has totaled 16 K's in 16 innings. He has given up a total of 2 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.612 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has faced 57 hitters in his MLB career. Weathers (1-0 career mark) has a 0.55 earned run average while giving up 2.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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