San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-160) Arizona (+140)

Chase Field is the site where Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-11, 4th in NL West) will play the San Diego Padres (13-11, 3rd in NL West) on Tuesday. The Diamondbacks open this contest at +140 while the Padres are priced at -160. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chris Paddack and Merrill Kelly.

The Padres have hit 27 two-baggers as a team and have hit 24 baseballs out of the stadium. San Diego is slugging .361 and have been rung up 212 times, while taking a walk on 100 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are scoring 3.9 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in MLB. They have compiled 87 RBI's and 187 hits this season, while their team batting average sits at .233. They have accounted for 93 runs while holding a team OBP of .323.

The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 2.75 on the season (1st in the league), and the staff has rung up 275 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.82 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.09. Padres pitchers have conceded 27 long balls and 84 runs in total (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 72 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.41 as a unit for the year.

Padres pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 19 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 14 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league). The Padres bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.5% and has entered the game in 31 save situations. They have accumulated 10 saves this year and have missed out on 6 out of their 16 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 27 runners so far this year with 22.2% of them ended up scoring. The Padres have dispatched 95 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Padres have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,971 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB. The San Diego Padres have earned 657 putouts this season, as well as 188 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .976 which puts them in 28th in MLB, and have a total of 177 double plays.

Paddack has taken the ball for 217 frames and has tallied 228 strikeouts so far in his career. Paddack (14-14 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.17 and he has gone up against 894 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.72 (90 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.080. He has given up 185 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 50 walks.

The Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .410 and they score 5.27 runs per outing (2nd in MLB). They have 31 doubles, while getting a free base 98 times as well as putting up 116 runs. Arizona has recorded 32 home runs on the season to go along with 109 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 206 instances (10th in the league) and have accounted for 177 base knocks. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .325 in addition to a batting average of .231 for the season.

The Arizona pitching staff have allowed 108 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.57 (98 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 33 homers and they concede 5.03 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.321 with a FIP of 4.70 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 (181 strikeouts vs 71 free passes). They rank 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 184.

Arizona relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.0% out of their 25 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with runners on base. With 22 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 13 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They rank 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 33.3%, and they have sent 71 relievers to the hill this season. Arizona has called on relievers to enter the contest in 9 save chances and they have walked away with 3 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 12 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (14th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have accrued 195 assists, 13 errors and have earned 580 putouts on the season. In their 1,740 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in pro baseball).

In his career, Kelly has allowed 238 base knocks and he has 200 punch outs in 235 frames. He has surrendered 117 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.294 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and he has gone up against 997 batters during his MLB career. Kelly (17-18 career win-loss mark) has a 4.47 earned run average while conceding 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+140)

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