San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, July 1, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-125) Cincinnati (+100)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (39-39, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the San Diego Padres (48-33, 3rd in NL West) on Thursday. The Reds open this game at +100 while the Padres are coming in at -125. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Ryan Weathers and Luis Castillo.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in the league. They have accumulated 370 runs scored and hold an OBP of .324. The Padres have accumulated 117 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 96 balls out of the park. They have compiled 351 RBI's in addition to 639 base knocks this year, while their batting average sits at .239. San Diego has a slugging % of .400 and have struck out 676 times, while being walked on 315 occasions.

Padres pitchers have allowed 87 home runs in addition to 292 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 247 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.67 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.30 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.15. The Padres have a team earned run average of 3.20 on the campaign (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 814 batters.

The Padres relievers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 97 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 67 runners on the campaign and 25.4% of those players crossed the plate. Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 50 times as well as having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 300 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have tallied 53 holds on the campaign (3rd in baseball). They have 28 saves this year and have blown 14 of 42 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have amassed 2,170 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 686 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and have earned 559 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,510 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball.

Weathers has taken the hill for 47 frames and has totaled 34 punch outs during his career. Weathers (3-2 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.24 and he has gone up against 184 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.47 (13 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.014. He has allowed 35 base knocks (6.7 hits per nine innings) and has 13 walks.

Cincinnati has compiled 103 home runs on the season as well as 371 runs batted in. They have put up 132 two-baggers, while taking a walk 268 times and notching 388 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .248 so far this season. The Reds have a team slugging % of .419 and they earn 4.97 runs per outing (5th in MLB). They have struck out on 688 occasions (18th in MLB) and have notched a total of 657 base hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.377 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.35 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 19th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 632. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 391 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.65 (359 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.36 (768 strikeouts vs 325 free passes). They have allowed 100 homers and they relinquish 5.06 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 41.3% out of their 126 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 81 times in high leverage situations and also on 85 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Reds have compiled 28 holds and 12 blown saves. They rank 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 283 relievers to the mound so far this year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have tallied 19 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 46 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in the majors). The Reds have 666 assists, 48 errors and have a total of 2,087 putouts for the season. In their 6,261 innings on the diamond, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (20th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Castillo has surrendered 512 hits while tallying 658 strikeouts in 603 innings. He has allowed 257 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.211 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 2,514 batters so far in his career. Castillo (35-43 career win-loss mark) has a 3.83 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-125)

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