San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 9/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Friday, September 10, 2021
Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
TV: Spectrum Sportsnet LA
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+125) Los Angeles (-156)
Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres (74-65, 3rd in NL West) head to Dodger Stadium on Friday where they'll meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (88-52, 2nd in NL West). The Padres open this matchup at +125 while the Dodgers are coming in at -156. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Joe Musgrove and Julio Urias.
As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 10th in the league. They have 641 runs while holding a team OBP of .324. The Padres have recorded 220 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 160 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 609 runs batted in in addition to 1,112 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is at .242. San Diego is slugging .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,146 times, while drawing a walk on 526 occasions.
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The Padres have a team ERA of 3.78 this season (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,325 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 429 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.09 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have relinquished 165 home runs and 568 total runs (9th in baseball).
The Padres have sent 528 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 139 runners so far this season with 30.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have tallied 41 saves over the course of the season and have blown 21 out of their 62 chances to get a save. The Padres bullpen have a save percentage of 66.1% and stepped onto the hill in 148 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 84 holds so far this season (4th in MLB). Padres pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 97 times and also have had 129 appearances in high leverage situations.
The San Diego Padres have accounted for 3,705 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,229 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 10th in pro baseball, and have a total of 959 double plays. The Padres have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of 11,115 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball.
Musgrove has taken the mound for 650 innings and is sitting with 638 punch outs during his MLB career. Musgrove (39-46 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.79 while he has faced 2,714 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.99 (288 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.179. He has given up 605 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 162 free passes.
Los Angeles has hit 197 home runs for the season to go along with 680 runs batted in. They have 214 two-baggers, while getting a free base 536 times and earning 708 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have tallied an on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .241 for the season. The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .421 and they earn 5.06 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have struck out on 1,250 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,140 base hits.
The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 485 runs this season while having a team ERA of 2.99 (417 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 143 home runs and they surrender 3.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.105 with a FIP of 3.59 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.23 (1,390 strikeouts vs 430 walks). They come in at 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 958.
Sitting with 166 save situations, the Dodgers have 93 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Los Angeles has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 71 save chances and they have earned 44 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 182 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on base. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.0% out of 205 inherited runners. They are ranked 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have sent 516 relief pitchers to the mound this year.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 79 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,134 assists, 79 errors and have notched a total of 3,768 putouts over the course of the season. In 11,304 innings played, the Dodgers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in baseball).
Urias (28-10 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.16 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.28 and he has gone up against 1,630 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 139 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.171 and a FIP of 3.4. In his MLB career, Urias has conceded 341 hits while he has tallied 400 punch outs in 395 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-156)
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