San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/13/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, June 13, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-125) New York (+100)

Citi Field is the site where Joey Lucchesi and the New York Mets (31-24, 1st in NL East) will take on the San Diego Padres (37-28, 3rd in NL West) on Sunday. The Mets open this contest at +100 while the Padres are priced at -125. The O/U opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Chris Paddack and Joey Lucchesi.

As a squad, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in MLB. They have accounted for 289 runs and have an OBP of .317. The Padres have accumulated 85 doubles as a team and have hit 64 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 271 RBI's in addition to 498 base knocks this year, while their batting average sits at .231. San Diego is slugging .369 and have been called out on strikes 546 times, while being walked on 253 occasions.

The Padres have a team ERA of 2.96 on the year (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 669 batters. They have walked 201 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a squad on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.33 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.11. Padres pitchers have surrendered 73 home runs in addition to 223 runs in total (4th in MLB).

Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 40 times in addition to having 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 37 holds for the season (8th in baseball). The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 68.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 70 save situations. They have earned 22 saves on the year and have not converted 10 out of their 32 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 52 base runners for the season with 26.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have sent 236 relievers to the mound on the year.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated 1,750 putouts for the season, as well as 550 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which is 27th in baseball, and they have turned 449 double plays. The Padres have converted 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,250 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in the majors.

Paddack (15-17 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.22 while facing 1,031 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 216 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 56 walks. His ERA is 3.85 (108 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.078. Paddack has taken the ball for 252 frames and has earned 259 strikeouts in his career.

The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a batting average of .236 on the season. They have been rung up on 472 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned 419 base hits. New York has compiled 56 home runs on the campaign to go along with 203 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .380 and they earn 3.85 runs per game (27th in the league). They have recorded 75 doubles, while taking a walk 175 times as well as putting up 212 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.136 in addition to having a FIP of 3.09 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.43 (522 strikeouts against 152 walks). They are sitting at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 381. They have surrendered 39 home runs and they surrender 3.72 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 194 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.13 (163 earned runs yielded).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.3% of 67 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 63 times in high leverage situations and on 43 occasions with base runners. With 53 save situations, the Mets have 28 holds and also 10 blown saves. They rank 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 173 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 25 save chances and they have walked away with 15 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 41 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (9th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 451 assists, 30 errors and have accounted for 1,407 putouts during this campaign. In their 4,221 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (15th in professional baseball).

Lucchesi (19-24 record in his career) has earned a 4.34 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.10 and he has faced 1,384 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 158 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.274 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Lucchesi has given up 308 base knocks while he has earned 338 strikeouts in 327 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+100)

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