San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
TV: Root Sports Northwest
Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (-125) Seattle (-120)
Chris Flexen and the Seattle Mariners (27-33, 3rd in AL West last season) host the San Francisco Giants (29-31, 3rd in NL West last year) at T-Mobile Park on Saturday. The Mariners open this game at -120 while the Giants are coming in at -125. The total opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Logan Webb and Chris Flexen.
San Francisco had a slugging percentage of .451 last year and struck out 499 times, while getting the free base on 195 occasions. They accrued 290 runs batted in and 532 hits for the previous season, and their average at the plate was .263. The Giants earned 107 two-baggers as a team and smacked 81 baseballs out of the park. They were sitting with 299 runs and held an on-base percentage of .335. As a unit, the San Francisco Giants earned 5.0 runs per game, which was 8th in baseball.
The Giants had an ERA of 4.65 over the course of the prior season (18th in MLB), and their staff rung up 488 batters. They walked 210 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 4.45 as a unit for the prior year. Their K/BB ratio was 2.32 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.32. Giants pitchers conceded 69 home runs in addition to 297 total runs (13th in the league). The Giants bullpen compiled a save rate of 54.2% and entered the game in 70 save situations. The relievers inherited 116 runners for the previous season and 26.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Giants bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on in 75 games and also 69 contests with high leverage. The Giants sent 236 relievers to the hill during the previous year. The bullpen earned 43 holds for the previous season (3rd in MLB). They earned 13 saves during the previous year and blew 11 out of their 24 save opportunities.
Logan Webb surrendered 61 hits in 54.1 innings he pitched throughout last season. His ERA was 5.47 and he struck out 46 hitters. He allowed 33 earned runs last season and had a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.9. He conceded 10.1 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was at 1.564. Webb was the owner of a FIP of 4.17 and an ERA+ of 78. Webb has pitched in 94 innings and has 83 K's in his career. His earned run average is 5.36 (56 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.521. He has surrendered 105 hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 38 walks. Webb (5-7 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.15 while he has gone up against 420 opposing batters in the major leagues.
The Seattle Mariners earned a team on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .226 over the course of last year. They were rung up on 545 occasions (9th in MLB) and earned 435 hits. Seattle had 60 long balls in the prior season to go along with 244 runs batted in. The Mariners held a team slugging % of .370 and they were recording 4.23 runs per outing (23rd in the league). They tallied 88 two-baggers, while getting a free base 207 times as well as putting up 254 runs.
The Mariners had a team WHIP of 1.379 with a FIP of 4.91 as a unit in the prior season. They ranked 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 482. The Seattle pitching staff surrendered 303 runs over the course of last season while holding an ERA of 5.04 (289 earned runs yielded). They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.04 (469 strikeouts vs 230 bases on balls). They yielded 79 long balls and they surrendered 5.28 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). Finishing with 23 save opportunities, the Mariners earned 31 holds and also 8 blown saves. Seattle had relievers enter the contest in 54 save situations and they tallied 15 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the hill in 54 games with high leverage and also 41 outings with base runners. Seattle relief pitchers had an inherited score rate of 49.0% out of 77 inherited base runners. They were ranked 10th in MLB with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they sent 189 bullpen pitchers to the hill last season.
Flexen allowed 15 total hits while surrendering 10 earned runs (6.59 ERA). His WHIP sat at 2.05 and he had a FIP of 5.56 throughout last season. He took the hill for 13.2 innings last season while conceding 9.9 H/9. Flexen earned a K/BB ratio of 0.8 with 10 total K's and he held an ERA+ of 64. During his pro baseball career, Flexen has allowed 91 base knocks while he has accumulated 49 K's in 68 innings pitched. Flexen (3-11 career record) has a 8.07 ERA and has allowed 12.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 61 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 2.132 and having a FIP of 6.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.91 and he has gone up against 343 opposing hitters during his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-120)
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