Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-105) Arizona (-116)

Marco Gonzales and the Seattle Mariners (72-62, 3rd in AL West) head to Chase Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-90, 5th in NL West). The Diamondbacks open this contest at -116 while the Mariners are priced at -105. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Marco Gonzales and Merrill Kelly.

As a team, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 23rd in baseball. They have tallied 558 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .299. The Mariners have tallied 180 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 166 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 538 RBI's in addition to 977 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .222. Seattle owns a slugging percentage of .380 and have struck out 1,270 times, while being walked on 438 occasions.

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The Mariners hold a team ERA of 4.28 for the season (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,088 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.75 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Mariners pitchers have yielded 159 home runs and 614 runs (17th in baseball). They have walked 395 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a squad so far this season.

Mariners relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 130 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 73 holds on the campaign (8th in the league). The Mariners relievers have earned a save percentage of 59.1% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. They have recorded 39 saves over the course of the season and have blown 27 of their 66 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 169 base runners on the year and 28.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mariners have dispatched 465 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Seattle Mariners have notched a total of 3,562 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,184 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which is 8th in the majors, and have accumulated 969 double plays. The Mariners have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 10,686 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in pro baseball.

Gonzales has thrown 624 innings and has totaled 503 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.08 (283 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.279. He has allowed 638 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 160 free passes. Gonzales (47-32 career record) holds a FIP of 4.16 and he has gone up against 2,626 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Arizona has recorded 119 home runs on the year to go along with 537 runs batted in. They have recorded 251 two-baggers, while taking a walk 460 times and racking up 567 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks hold a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .237 this season. The Diamondbacks hold a slugging percentage of .381 and they average 4.20 runs per outing (22nd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,232 instances (6th in baseball) and have recorded 1,083 base knocks.

The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.444 in addition to having a FIP of 4.84 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.23 (1,035 strikeouts against 464 walks). They come in at 30th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,236. They have surrendered 190 dingers and they relinquish 5.71 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 747 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 5.12 (670 earned runs surrendered).

Arizona has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 19 saves. They are ranked 30th in the league holding a save rate of 44.2%, and they have dispatched 458 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relievers have come in 120 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with runners on. Arizona bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.7% out of their 166 inherited base runners. With 103 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accrued 58 holds and 24 blown saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 89 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have recorded 1,160 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 3,533 putouts on the campaign. In 10,599 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in baseball).

In his career, Kelly has allowed 353 base knocks and he has 305 strikeouts in 357 innings pitched. He has conceded 167 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has faced 1,497 batters in his career. Kelly (23-25 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.21 ERA while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle (-105)

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