St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, June 19, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-116) Atlanta (-105)

Drew Smyly and the Atlanta Braves (31-35, 3rd in NL East) host the St. Louis Cardinals (35-34, 4th in NL Central) at Truist Park on Saturday. The Braves open this matchup at -105 while the Cardinals are coming in at -116. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Adam Wainwright and Drew Smyly.

The Cardinals have accrued 106 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 75 balls out of the stadium. St. Louis is slugging .380 and have been called out on strikes 587 times, while taking a walk on 203 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 4.0 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have 262 RBI's as well as 517 hits so far this year, while their batting average comes in at .228. They have tallied 277 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .300.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.21 on the season (17th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 552 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 297 opposing players and their FIP is 4.27 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.86 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34. Cardinals pitchers have surrendered 56 home runs in addition to 308 runs (17th in baseball).

The Cardinals have dispatched 230 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have inherited 127 runners for the season and 45.7% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 21 saves over the course of the season and have blown 6 of their 27 save opportunities. The Cardinals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 77.8% and stepped onto the hill in 60 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 31 holds so far this season (18th in MLB). Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 71 times in addition to having 64 appearances in high leverage situations.

The St. Louis Cardinals have amassed 1,809 putouts this year, as well as 612 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 479 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,427 innings, which has them ranked 8th in the majors.

Wainwright has thrown 2,249 innings and has earned 1,903 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.40 (850 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.222. He has given up 2,135 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 613 walks. Wainwright (171-103 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.43 and he has gone up against 9,332 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .431 and they score 4.86 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have 112 doubles, while getting a free base 237 times as well as putting up 321 runs. Atlanta has compiled 96 long balls on the campaign and 307 runs batted in. They have struck out on 622 occasions (12th in the league) and are sitting with 517 hits. The Atlanta Braves have earned an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .238 so far this year.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 323 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.45 (287 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 83 home runs and they allow 5.00 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.327 with a FIP of 4.30 as a unit this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 (595 strikeouts vs 224 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 547.

With 70 save situations, the Braves have recorded 44 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Atlanta has had relievers step onto the mound in 25 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 107 times in high leverage situations in addition to 64 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% out of their 101 inherited runners. They rank 26th in baseball with a save percentage of 52.0%, and they have dispatched 247 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 43 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (11th in pro baseball). The Braves have 606 assists, 38 errors and have amassed 1,743 putouts this year. In 5,229 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in the majors).

During his career, Smyly has allowed 728 base hits and he has 763 strikeouts in 766 innings. Smyly (38-38 career win-loss record) holds a 4.24 ERA and has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 361 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and he has gone up against 3,221 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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