St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, September 5, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+195) Milwaukee (-263)

Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (82-54, 1st in NL Central) play the St. Louis Cardinals (69-64, 3rd in NL Central) at American Family Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals coming in at +195 and the Brewers are at -263. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jon Lester and Corbin Burnes.

The Cardinals have accumulated 211 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 153 balls out of the stadium. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .401 and have been called out on strikes 1,087 times, while taking a walk on 405 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 23rd in MLB. They have compiled 539 runs batted in in addition to 1,058 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .240. They have earned 559 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313.

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The Cardinals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.09 on the campaign (14th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,019 batters. They have walked 523 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.31 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.95 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33. Cardinals pitchers have relinquished 120 home runs and 569 total runs (13th in the league).

Cardinals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 141 times and also have had 125 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 80 holds on the season (5th in the league). The Cardinals relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 68.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 136 save situations. They have accumulated 37 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of their 54 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 236 runners on the campaign with 37.3% of those runners crossed home plate. The Cardinals have sent 457 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Cardinals have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,455 innings on the diamond, ranking them 4th in MLB. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a total of 3,485 putouts on the year, as well as 1,221 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which ranks 18th in MLB, and have a total of 938 double plays.

Lester has thrown 2,705 innings and is sitting with 2,465 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.66 (1,100 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.278. He has conceded 2,578 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 879 free passes. Lester (198-117 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 11,341 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Brewers have a SLG% of .397 and they score 4.60 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have 213 doubles, while getting a free base 492 times as well as putting up 625 runs. Milwaukee has hit 162 home runs on the year and 593 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,245 occasions (6th in baseball) and have earned 1,056 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an OBP of .319 as well as a batting average of .235 for the year.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 512 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.44 (461 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 135 long balls and they relinquish 3.82 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.186 in addition to having a FIP of 3.68 as a staff over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 (1,360 strikeouts vs 463 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 969.

Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 62 save chances and they have tallied 38 saves. They are currently ranked 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have sent 452 relievers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 167 times in high leverage situations and also on 88 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.4% out of 127 inherited base runners. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Brewers have earned 72 holds in addition to 24 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 1,125 assists, 81 errors and have a total of 3,621 putouts on the season. In 10,863 innings on the field, the Brewers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (5th in the majors).

Burnes (21-10 career record) holds a 3.40 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.72 and he has faced 1,173 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 108 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.117 and a FIP of 2.7. In his MLB career, Burnes has surrendered 238 hits while accumulating 382 K's in 285 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (+195)

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