Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-120) Boston (-125)

Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (1-3, 5th in AL East) host the Tampa Bay Rays (2-2, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The Rays open this contest at -120 while the Red Sox are coming in at -125. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ryan Yarbrough and Nathan Eovaldi.

Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .382 and have struck out 33 times, while taking a walk on 13 occasions. They have recorded 15 RBI's and 29 hits this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .221. The Rays have accounted for 4 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 5 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 16 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .295. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB.

The Rays hold a team ERA of 6.62 for the season (26th in the league), and the staff has rung up 34 hitters. They have walked 12 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.59 as a unit on the year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.62. Rays pitchers have allowed 3 home runs and 27 total runs (7th in baseball).

The Rays had sent 219 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The relief pitchers inherited 91 runners for the previous season with 18.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They earned 23 saves for the prior year and did not convert 8 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Rays bullpen had a save percentage of 74.2% and came into the game in 73 save situations. The bullpen notched 41 holds during the previous year (5th in MLB). Rays bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on in 69 games as well as 84 contests with high leverage.

Yarbrough has thrown 350 innings and has accounted for 292 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.88 (151 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.145. He has conceded 319 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 82 walks. Yarbrough (28-16 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.84 while going up against 1,445 opposing hitters in the majors.

Boston has compiled 2 HRs for the year to go along with 15 runs batted in. They have put up 8 doubles, while taking a walk 9 times and notching 16 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .285 as well as a batting average of .238 this season. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .346 and they average 4.00 runs per game (17th in the league). They have struck out on 32 instances (27th in MLB) and have earned a total of 31 base hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.611 and are the owners of a FIP of 2.52 as a squad this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.41 (41 strikeouts against 17 free passes). They have a ranking of 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 41. They have allowed 0 homers and they concede 5.00 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 20 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.50 (18 earned runs yielded).

Boston had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 69 save situations and they walked away with 14 saves last year. They were ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 51.9%, and they dispatched 232 bullpen pitchers to the mound last year. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 60 games with high leverage in addition to 55 games with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers held an inherited score rate of 30.0% out of 92 inherited base runners. Ending the season with 27 save opportunities, the Red Sox compiled 40 holds and also 13 blown saves.

In his pro baseball career, Eovaldi has surrendered 1,014 hits while earning 766 punch outs in 971 innings pitched. Eovaldi (50-57 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.25 ERA and has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 459 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.355 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and he has faced 4,150 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-120)

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