Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Wednesday, August 11, 2021
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+100) Boston (-125)
Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (65-49, 2nd in AL East) host the Tampa Bay Rays (68-44, 1st in AL East) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Rays priced at +100 and the Red Sox are at -125. The over/under opens at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Josh Fleming and Nathan Eovaldi.
The Rays have accumulated 193 doubles as a squad and have knocked 147 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,116 times, while drawing a walk on 417 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 5.1 runs per outing, which has them at 4th in the league. They have 540 runs batted in as well as 894 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .235. They have earned 570 runs and have an on-base percentage of .317.
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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.59 on the year (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,055 batters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.43 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16. Rays pitchers have allowed 125 home runs and 449 runs (9th in MLB). They have walked 308 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a unit on the year.
Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 92 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 65 holds on the season (6th in baseball). The Rays relievers have a save rate of 69.0% and has come into the game in 109 save situations. They have 29 saves so far this season and have blown 13 out of their 42 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 base runners so far this season with 30.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Rays have dispatched 360 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.
The Rays have converted 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,081 innings on the field, which ranks them 7th in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 3,027 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 961 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 8th in baseball, and have a total of 728 double plays.
Fleming has thrown 119 innings and has totaled 82 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.76 (50 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.153. He has allowed 109 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 29 free passes. Fleming (14-5 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.24 and he has faced 490 opposing batters during his time in the majors.
Boston has 141 home runs on the season to go along with 518 runs batted in. They have hit 235 doubles, while taking a walk 328 times and putting up 551 runs. The Boston Red Sox have tallied an OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .257 on the year. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .435 and they are earning 4.83 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have struck out on 986 instances (16th in baseball) and have tallied 988 base hits.
The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.382 with a FIP of 3.93 as a unit so far this year. They sit at 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 993. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 518 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.27 (472 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 (1,055 strikeouts vs 381 walks). They have given up 120 long balls and they relinquish 4.69 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).
Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.3% out of 176 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 126 times in high leverage situations and also on 113 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 124 save situations, the Red Sox have 68 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have sent 377 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 52 save chances and they have come away with 36 saves.
In their 8,949 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 65.8% (30th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 107 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 1,012 assists, 74 errors and have a total of 2,983 putouts on the campaign.
Eovaldi (59-63 mark in his career) has earned a 4.24 earned run average while giving up 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and he has faced 4,663 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 515 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.342 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Eovaldi has allowed 1,140 hits and he has 886 strikeouts in 1,092 frames.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+100)
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