Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: SportsTime Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-175) Cleveland (+140)

Triston McKenzie and the Cleveland Indians (48-46, 2nd in AL Central) host the Tampa Bay Rays (58-39, 2nd in AL East) at Progressive Field on Sunday. The Indians open this contest at +140 while the Rays are priced at -175. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Ryan Yarbrough and Triston McKenzie.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 7th in the league. They have racked up 474 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. The Rays have tallied 167 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 118 balls out of the park. They have recorded 451 runs batted in and 758 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .231. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .398 and have been called out on strikes 980 times, while being walked on 365 occasions.

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Rays pitchers have conceded 109 home runs in addition to 392 runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 268 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a team on the year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.14. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.59 on the campaign (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 916 batters.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 81 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 56 holds on the year (7th in MLB). The Rays relievers have a save percentage of 71.1% and has come into the game in 96 save situations. They have earned 27 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 11 of their 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 98 base runners over the course of the season and 31.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Rays have dispatched 312 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Rays have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 7,866 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 2,622 putouts thus far, in addition to 847 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 7th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 621 double plays.

Yarbrough has pitched in 446 frames and has racked up 373 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.09 (203 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.166. He has given up 420 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 101 free passes. Yarbrough (34-20 career record) holds a FIP of 3.94 while he has gone up against 1,854 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Cleveland Indians hold an OBP of .298 and a team batting average of .229 on the season. They have been rung up on 807 instances (22nd in MLB) and have a total of 702 hits. Cleveland is sitting with 116 home runs for the season to go along with 386 runs batted in. The Indians hold a slugging percentage of .396 and they have an average of 4.31 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have tallied 136 doubles, while getting a free base 266 times as well as racking up 405 runs.

The Indians have a team WHIP of 1.301 with a FIP of 4.32 as a team this season. They are sitting at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 730. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 426 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.42 (399 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.66 (871 strikeouts against 328 free passes). They have conceded 123 dingers and they relinquish 4.72 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball).

With 85 save situations, the Indians have earned 47 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 36 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations in addition to 83 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 117 inherited runners. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have sent 313 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Cleveland Indians have turned 76 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (9th in pro baseball). The Indians have recorded 806 assists, 49 errors and have a total of 2,439 putouts on the season. Out of their 7,317 innings on the field, the Indians have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (15th in professional baseball).

McKenzie (3-5 career record) has a 4.88 earned run average and has given up 6.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and he has gone up against 361 batters during his career. He has given up 47 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 4.8. In his MLB career, McKenzie has allowed 58 base hits while tallying 113 punch outs in 86 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+140)

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