Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-161) Detroit (+125)

Casey Mize and the Detroit Tigers (66-75, 3rd in AL Central) host the Tampa Bay Rays (88-52, 1st in AL East) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays priced at -161 and the Tigers are at +125. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Luis Patino and Casey Mize.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, which is 1st in baseball. They have earned a total of 757 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .320. The Rays have hit 251 doubles as a squad and have smacked 195 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 712 runs batted in and 1,156 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .242. Tampa Bay is slugging .428 and have been called out on strikes 1,353 times, while drawing a walk on 504 occasions.

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Rays pitchers have conceded 158 home runs and also 578 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 388 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.77 as a unit on the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.36 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.74 so far this year (6th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,302 hitters.

The Rays have sent 449 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 138 runners so far this year with 29.0% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 38 saves for the season and have blown 18 of 56 chances to get a save. The Rays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 67.9% and stepped onto the hill in 135 save situations. The bullpen have notched 76 holds so far this season (10th in MLB). Rays pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 109 times as well as having 157 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,343 innings on the field, which ranks them 13th in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 3,781 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,186 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 7th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 904 double plays.

Patino (5-3 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.84 and he has faced 347 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 74 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 39 walks. His ERA is 4.77 (41 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.461. Patino has thrown 77 frames and has accounted for 83 K's in his MLB career.

Detroit has a total of 160 long balls on the season as well as 592 runs batted in. They have notched 205 doubles, while walking 426 times as well as scoring 613 runs. The Detroit Tigers have a team on-base percentage of .308 as well as a team batting average of .243 on the season. The Tigers have a team slugging % of .403 and they score 4.35 runs per outing (19th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,328 occasions (4th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,136 base knocks.

The Detroit pitching staff have relinquished 672 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.42 (604 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 181 home runs and they yield 4.91 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.374 in addition to having a FIP of 4.64 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.26 (1,104 strikeouts against 488 bases on balls). They come in at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,204.

Sitting with 120 save situations, the Tigers have earned 64 holds and also 18 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 52 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 142 times in high leverage situations and also on 131 occasions with base runners. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.0% of 203 inherited runners. They rank 10th in baseball with a save rate of 65.4%, and they have sent 500 relievers to the hill on the year.

In 11,085 innings played, the Tigers hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have twisted 117 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in MLB). The Tigers have accrued 1,286 assists, 75 errors and have amassed 3,695 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Mize has allowed 146 base knocks while accumulating 132 K's in 166 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 76 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.188 and having a FIP of 5.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and he has gone up against 693 batters during his pro baseball career. Mize (7-10 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.10 ERA and has given up 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+125)

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