Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/12/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-115) Atlanta (+105)

Truist Park is the site where Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (17-17, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (17-16, 4th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Blue Jays open this matchup at -115 while the Braves are priced at +105. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Hyun Jin Ryu and Max Fried.

Toronto has a slugging % of .406 and have been called out on strikes 280 times, while drawing a walk on 100 occasions. They have recorded 150 runs batted in and 265 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is at .239. The Blue Jays have earned 39 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 48 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 160 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .307. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 6th in the league.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 42 long balls in addition to 135 runs (9th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 97 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.26 as a unit so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26. The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.91 on the year (12th in the league), and they have rung up 277 batters.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 120 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners this year with 25.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 7 saves on the year and have blown 1 out of their 8 save opportunities. The Blue Jays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 87.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 29 save situations. The relievers have racked up 19 holds on the season (11th in baseball). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 41 times in addition to having 40 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 857 putouts this year, in addition to 315 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 9th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 225 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,571 innings, which ranks them 18th in pro baseball.

Ryu has thrown 840 innings and has accounted for 769 K's so far in his MLB career. Ryu (61-37 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.29 while he has faced 3,433 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 2.97 (277 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.161. He has allowed 790 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 185 free passes.

The Braves hold a team slugging % of .419 and they are scoring 4.68 runs per outing (10th in baseball). They have hit 51 doubles, while walking 123 times and putting up 159 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 49 home runs over the course of the season as well as 153 RBIs. They have been rung up on 294 occasions (17th in baseball) and have notched a total of 255 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have tallied a team OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .231 this year.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.400 with a FIP of 4.52 as a pitching staff on the season. They are sitting at 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 287. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 171 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.54 (150 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 2.48 (320 strikeouts vs 129 bases on balls). They have yielded 48 home runs and they yield 5.18 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

With 36 save situations, the Braves have accrued 23 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 12 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 55 times in high leverage situations in addition to 32 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of 44 inherited base runners. They sit at 12th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 125 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 22 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (7th in MLB). The Braves have recorded 303 assists, 18 errors and have accounted for 892 putouts during this campaign. In 2,676 innings played, the Braves have a efficiency on defense of 68.3% (26th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Fried has allowed 299 base knocks while he has earned 309 strikeouts in 297 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 125 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.355 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and he has faced 1,272 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Fried (27-12 mark in his career) has earned a 3.78 earned run average and has conceded 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-115)

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